CIT Predictions: Will Northern Colorado cover vs. Sam Houston State?

Northern Colorado vs. Sam Houston St. Pick

Is Northern Colorado giving up too many points to Sam Houston State when the two meet in the CIT Tournament semifinal tonight at 9PM ET?

GAME SNAPSHOT

CIT Tournament: (725) Sam Houston State at (726) Northern Colorado

Wednesday, March 28, 2018

Location: Bank of Colorado Arena, Greeley, Colorado

TV: CBS Sports Network, 9PM ET

CURRENT ODDS

According to oddsmakers at YouWager, Northern Colorado is favored in this game, as the Bears are getting odds of -10.5 points against Sam Houston State. The over/under total is currently listed at 150 points.

LINE MOVEMENT

The spread opened with Northern Colorado as a 10.5-point favorite as well. The line hasn’t budged since. The over/under total opened at 149 points but quickly moved to 150 and held from there.

Bet on College Basketball for Wednesday, March 28, 2018

PUBLIC BETTING INFORMATION

As of Wednesday morning, the public betting is backing Sam Houston State today. The Bearkats are getting 52 percent of the wagers as a big underdog against Northern Colorado.

KEY INJURIES

Northern Colorado doesn’t have anyone listed on the injury report for today’s game. Sam Houston State guard Marcus Harris is listed as questionable with an undisclosed injury. Harris is averaging 9.4 points per game this season. He was unable to play against UTSA.

BETTING STRATEGIES

Sam Houston State has picked up a 69-62 win over Eastern Michigan at home and a 76-69 win at Texas-San Antonio. The Bearkats have covered the spread in both victories. Sam Houston State is 4-3 against the spread on the season and 3-3 ATS on the road. The Bearkats average 70 points per game on offense while allowing 69.7 per game on defense.

Northern Colorado earned an 81-72 win over Drake at home and then an 86-75 win at San Diego. The Bears covered the spread in both wins. Northern Colorado is 22-10-1 against the spread this season and 8-4 ATS at home. The Bears are scoring 79.3 per game on offense while allowing 73.8 per game on defense.

This is a big spread, but North Colorado has been a very good team at home and the Bears have been great at covering the spread. Northern Colorado is averaging 84.2 per game on offense at home. They shoot nearly 50 percent from the field on their home floor. I just don’t see Sam Houston State having the offense to match Northern Colorado and keep this game competitive.

 

CIT TOURNAMENT PREDICTIONS: NORTHERN COLORADO -10.5