Duke vs. Virginia Prediction & Odds
Number twenty-one Duke and #13 Virginia face off at 8:30 PM ET Saturday night on ESPN for the ACC Tournament championship. Can the Cavaliers cover the 2.5-point spread as neutral-site underdogs?
Duke is 25-8 on the year with their best wins coming over Xavier and Miami. Their worst losses came against Clemson and Virginia Tech. The Blue Devils are 14-19 against the spread this season.
Virginia is 25-6 this season with their best wins coming over Baylor and Duke. Their worst losses came against Boston College and Virginia Tech. The Cavaliers are 12-17-2 against the spread this year.
Game Matchup and Betting Odds
631 Duke Blue Devils (-2.5) vs. 632 Virginia Cavaliers (+2.5); O/U 123
8:30 PM ET, Saturday, March 11, 2023
Greensboro Coliseum, Greensboro, NC
Duke vs. Virginia Public Betting Information
Our CBB Public Betting Information page indicates that the public favors the Blue Devils in this contest. Our public betting data illustrates that 74% of public bets are on Duke -2.5. Do note that these numbers are subject to change and could be different once tipoff rolls around, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Duke Game Notes
Duke’s best player is freshman center Kyle Filipowski. The 7’0” Westtown, NY native is leading the Blue Devils in scoring (15.2 points per game), rebounding (8.9 rebounds per game), and steals (1.2 steals per game). He’s averaging 19.5 points per game in the ACC Tournament and will likely need to score in double figures if Duke is going to win on Saturday.
Duke guard Tyrese Proctor has scored at least 10 points in 6 straight games for the Blue Devils. He’s given Duke a dynamic perimeter scoring presence that they lacked earlier in the season and could play a key role this Saturday.
Virginia Game Notes
Virginia forward Ben Vander Plas broke his right hand last week and will miss the rest of the season. Vander Plas had been averaging 7.4 points and 4.6 rebounds per game in 24.8 minutes per contest for the Cavaliers this season.
The Cavaliers’ most important player is senior forward Jayden Gardner. The 6’6” East Carolina transfer is second on the club in scoring with 11.9 points per game and leads the team in rebounding with 5.6 boards per game. He was instrumental in Virginia’s semifinal win over Clemson on Friday night, pouring in 23 points on 10-15 shooting from the field. Virginia will need him to show up if they’re going to take home the ACC Tournament trophy on Saturday.
Duke vs. Virginia CBB Betting Trends
Duke is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games.
Duke is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
Virginia is 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Virginia is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.
Duke vs. Virginia CBB Prediction:
Duke seems to be peaking at the right time. The Blue Devils have won 8 games in a row on their way to the ACC Tournament final. Duke’s younger players have settled into their roles and the veteran players have guided the way through the gauntlet that is the ACC Tournament. There’s also the fact that this game is being played in Greensboro, North Carolina. Greensboro is a 54-minute drive from Duke’s campus in Durham, NC. The Blue Devils lost at Virginia a month ago in overtime 69-62 but I think they get their revenge here and take home the ACC Tournament title.
CBB BETTING PREDICTION: DUKE BLUE DEVILS -2.5
