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Duke vs. Virginia Prediction: Will over cash in Charlottesville?

2026 Men's College Basketball 2026 Men's College Basketball

The Duke Blue Devils are set to face the Virginia Cavaliers on Monday, February 17, 2025, at 8:00 PM ET at John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville, Virginia. Duke, currently ranked third nationally with a 22-3 overall record and a 14-1 mark in the ACC, is favored by 14.5 points over Virginia, which stands at 13-12 overall and 6-8 in conference play. What’s the smart bet in tonight’s Duke vs. Virginia matchup?

Game Matchup & Betting Odds

Duke Blue Devils (-14.5) at Virginia Cavaliers (+14.5); o/u 130

8:00 p.m. ET, Monday, February 17, 2025

John Paul Jones Arena, Charlottesville, VA

TV: ESPN

Duke vs. Virginia Public Betting: Bettors Laying Points

Our CBB Public Betting Information page indicates that 62% of public bettors are currently backing Duke when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.

Team Performance and Statistics

Duke: The Blue Devils boast a potent offense, averaging 81.0 points per game, and a staunch defense, allowing just 60.8 points per game. They excel in rebounding, with a margin of +8.8 over opponents, and are proficient from beyond the arc, averaging 10.2 three-pointers per game.

Virginia: The Cavaliers play a more deliberate style, averaging 64.6 points per game and conceding 64.9. They face challenges in rebounding, with a slight deficit of 1.4 rebounds per game compared to opponents.

Key Players to Watch

Duke: Freshman Kon Knueppel, despite a recent dip in scoring, remains a vital contributor. Junior guard Tyrese Proctor is on a hot streak, aiming to maintain his momentum.

Virginia: Sophomore guard Isaac McKneely and freshman Dai Dai Ames have been instrumental during Virginia’s recent three-game winning streak.

Duke vs. Virginia CBB Prediction:

Duke’s fast-paced offense will challenge Virginia’s preference for a slower tempo. The Blue Devils’ proficiency in three-point shooting could exploit the Cavaliers’ recent struggles in defending the perimeter, as Virginia has allowed high percentages from beyond the arc in recent games.

I like the over. In Virginia’s last 10 games, the over is 8-1-1. In Duke’s last 10 games, the over is 6-4. The under has been more successful in previous meetings between these two teams, but I don’t see how Virginia keeps Duke from scoring at will.

Duke vs. Virginia Hoops Prediction: OVER 130

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