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Indiana vs. Purdue Prediction: Can Boilers win big at home?

Purdue vs. Michigan State Purdue vs. Michigan State

Unranked Indiana heads to West Lafayette to face #10 Purdue on Friday night. The game is at 8:00 PM ET on FOX. Can Indiana cover the 12-point spread as road underdogs? Keep reading for our Indiana vs. Purdue prediction.

The Indiana Hoosiers are 14-7 straight up in the regular season this year. They are 11-10 ATS this season.

The Purdue Boilermakers are 16-5 straight up in the regular season this year. They are 12-9 ATS this season.

Indiana vs. Purdue Matchup & Betting Odds

891 Indiana Hoosiers (+12) at 892 Purdue Boilermakers (-12); o/u 146.5

8:00 p.m. ET, Friday, January 31, 2025

Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, IN

TV: FOX

Indiana vs. Purdue Public Betting Information

Our CBB Public Betting Information page indicates that 53% of public bettors are currently backing Indiana when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.

Indiana Hoosiers Game Notes

Hoosiers forward Mackenzie Mgbako had a good game in his team’s 79-78 loss to Maryland on Sunday afternoon. The 6’9” sophomore posted 16 points and 5 rebounds across 28 minutes. Mgbako shot 7 of 12 from the field and 2 of 5 from long distance in the loss.

Indiana center Oumar Ballo posted a double-double in his team’s game on Sunday. The Arizona transfer recorded 14 points, 10 rebounds, 3 assists, a block, and 2 steals in 39 minutes. Ballo is leading the team in scoring with 14.5 points per game this season.

Purdue Boilermakers Game Notes

Boilermakers guard Braden Smith nearly logged a triple-double in his team’s 91-64 blowout win over Michigan last Friday. The junior from Westfield, IN registered 24 points, 7 rebounds, 10 assists, and 4 steals in that contest. Smith shot 10 of 14 from the floor and 4 of 4 from the foul line in the victory.

Purdue guard Fletcher Loyer also played well in his team’s game last Friday. In 29 minutes, the 6’5” junior accumulated 18 points, 3 rebounds, an assist, and 5 made three-pointers. Loyer is third on the team in scoring this season with 14.0 points per contest.

Indiana is 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games against Purdue.

The Hoosiers are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Purdue is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

Purdue is 6-4 ATS as a home favorite this season.

Indiana vs. Purdue CBB Prediction:

Purdue has been one of the best home teams in the country this season. The Boilermakers have a point differential of +17.5 points per game at Mackey Arena in 2024-25. What’s more, Purdue is 7-4 ATS at home this season and 14-12-1 ATS at home dating back to the start of last season. In Big Ten play, the Boilermakers have secured home wins of 18+ points over Northwestern, Nebraska, and Michigan this year. 

Furthermore, the last time these two teams played each other, Purdue beat Indiana soundly. The Boilers beat the Hoosiers at home last season 79-59 and took down Indiana 87-66 in Bloomington last year. The Hoosiers have already lost by 17+ points on the road to Nebraska and Iowa this season. Purdue is significantly better than both of those squads. I think the Boilermakers win this game decisively at home on Friday night. Purdue is the pick. 

Indiana vs. Purdue CBB Prediction: PURDUE BOILERMAKERS -12

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