Iowa State vs. TCU Prediction & Odds
Number twenty-five Iowa State heads to Fort Worth to face #17 TCU at 2:00 PM ET Saturday afternoon on ESPNU. Can the Horned Frogs cover the 6.5-point spread as home favorites?
Iowa State is 11-2 on the year with their best wins coming over North Carolina and Baylor. Their only losses came against UConn and Iowa. The Cyclones are 8-5 against the spread this season.
TCU is 13-1 this season with their best wins coming over Iowa and Baylor. Their only loss came against Northwestern State on November 14th. The Horned Frogs are 8-5-1 against the spread this year.
Game Matchup and Betting Odds
665 Iowa State Cyclones (+6.5) vs. 666 TCU Horned Frogs (-6.5); O/U 132
2:00 PM ET, Saturday, January 7, 2023
Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena, Fort Worth, TX
Iowa State vs. TCU Public Betting Information
Our CBB Public Betting Information page indicates that the public is split on this contest. Our public betting data illustrates that 50% of public bets are on TCU -6.5. Do note that these numbers are subject to change and could be different once tipoff rolls around, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Iowa State Game Notes
Iowa State’s leading rebounder Aljaz Kunc broke his finger at the end of December and he’ll be out indefinitely. Kunc was averaging 8.5 points and 5.9 rebounds per game while playing 28.6 minutes per game for the Cyclones this year.
Iowa State senior guard Caleb Grill has been coming on of late. The 6’3” native of Wichita, KS is averaging 17.3 points per game in his last three games. In that same span Grill is shooting a blistering 60% from the field and 56.5% from beyond the arc. If Grill can stay hot from three, Iowa State has a legit shot at covering this contest.
TCU Game Notes
TCU guard Mike Miles Jr. is the engine that drives the Horned Frogs’ offense. The junior guard from Highlands, Texas is averaging 19.9 points per game while shooting an efficient 52.9% from the field on 12.5 shot attempts per game. He’s also been good at drawing fouls this year, as he’s earning 7.8 free throw attempts per game.
TCU’s assist leader is senior guard Damion Baugh. The 6’4” Nashville native is posting 12.1 points, 4 rebounds, and 5 assists per contest for the Horned Frogs this year. TCU will likely need Baugh’s passing and Miles’ scoring to win and cover this game on Saturday.
Iowa State vs. TCU CBB Betting Trends
Iowa State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games.
The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between Iowa State and TCU.
The road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings between Iowa State and TCU.
The under is 14-3 in Iowa State’s last 17 games overall.
Iowa State vs. TCU State CBB Prediction:
Iowa State is a team on a hot streak. The Cyclones have won 4 in a row and 6 out of their last 7 contests. The numbers back it up too as Iowa State is ranked 33rd in adjusted efficiency margin according to Kenpom.com. That puts them only three spots behind TCU in that same metric as the Horned Frogs rank 30th in adjusted efficiency margin. I think these two teams are evenly matched, and that this line is a few points too high. Because of that, I’ll take the Cyclones and the points.
CBB BETTING PREDICTION: IOWA STATE CYCLONES +6.5
