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Liberty vs. Oregon Prediction: Is Betting Total too Low?

Liberty vs. Oregon Liberty vs. Oregon

​The Liberty Flames (28-6) are set to face the Oregon Ducks (24-9) in the first round of the NCAA Tournament on Friday, March 21, 2025. The game will take place at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington, with tip-off scheduled for 10:10 p.m. Eastern Time (7:10 p.m. Pacific Time). The matchup will be broadcast on truTV. What’s the smart bet in tonight’s Liberty vs. Oregon matchup?

Game Matchup & Betting Odds

Liberty Flames (+7) vs. Oregon Ducks (-7); o/u 139.5

3:15 p.m. ET, Friday, March 21, 2025

Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA

TV: truTV

Liberty vs. Oregon Public Betting: Bettors Taking Points

Our CBB Public Betting Information page indicates that 62% of public bettors are currently backing Liberty when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.

Team Overviews

Liberty enters the tournament as a No. 12 seed after winning both the Conference USA regular-season and tournament championships. The Flames are known for their efficient shooting, particularly from beyond the arc, ranking among the nation’s leaders in three-point shooting percentage. However, they have struggled at the free-throw line, which could be a factor in close games. ​

Oregon, the No. 5 seed, had a strong non-conference performance that bolstered their seeding, despite an average showing in the Big Ten. The Ducks possess a size advantage over Liberty, which they may leverage to dominate the paint and control the boards.

Key Matchup Factors

Three-Point Shooting vs. Perimeter Defense: Liberty’s success heavily relies on their three-point shooting. Oregon’s ability to defend the perimeter will be crucial in limiting Liberty’s offensive effectiveness.​

Size and Rebounding: Oregon’s size advantage could translate into a significant rebounding edge, allowing for second-chance points and control of the game’s tempo.​

Free-Throw Shooting: Liberty’s struggles at the free-throw line could be detrimental in a tightly contested game, especially in the closing minutes.​

Betting Odds

According to oddsmakers from online sportsbook Bovada.lv, Oregon is favored by 6.5 points, with the over/under set at 139.5 points. Some analysts view Liberty as a potential Cinderella team capable of an upset, citing their impressive three-point shooting and overall efficiency. However, others believe Oregon’s size and strength, combined with Liberty’s challenging travel schedule, give the Ducks an edge in covering the spread.

Liberty vs. Oregon CBB Prediction:

Considering Oregon’s size advantage and Liberty’s reliance on perimeter shooting, the game’s outcome may hinge on which team can impose its style of play. If Oregon effectively utilizes its size and controls the paint, they are likely to advance. I think this game will be too close from a spread standpoint, but I do like the over.

Liberty vs. Oregon Hoops Prediction: OVER 139.5

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