San Jose State vs. Nevada Pick
Are the 22nd-ranked Nevada Wolfpack going to race past the visiting San Jose State Spartans and cover a big spread tonight at 10PM ET?
According to oddsmakers at YouWager, the Wolfpack are listed as a 21-point favorite on the spread line. The total is set at 149 points. Nevada opened as a 23-point favorite before the line was bumped down, while the total has gone down slightly from 149.5.
As of Wednesday afternoon, 62 percent of public bets have been placed on the Wolfpack. Online wager info also shows that 54 percent of bets are coming in on the over.
The first thing that stands out in this matchup is that the Spartans are only 1-12 straight up on the road this season, while Nevada is 12-1 on its home floor. The first meeting this season was won 71-54 by the Wolfpack at SJSU. Nevada has won six consecutive meetings straight up and are 4-5-1 ATS over the last 10 matchups. The under has hit nine straight times.
San Jose State has lost 14 consecutive games straight up, the last one being an 89-75 defeat at Wyoming. On the season, the Spartans are 10-13-1 ATS. The over-under is 5-5 over their last 10 contests. The Wolfpack are on a three-game winning streak, defeating host Utah State 93-87 in their last game. Nevada is 5-3-2 ATS in its last 10 games. The under is 7-3.
After winning by 17 at San Jose State last month, its difficult to not take Nevada here to cover the 23. While its a huge spread, few teams nationally are struggling as badly as the Spartans. One quick punch early and the domino effect should allow the Wolfpack to roll quite easily tonight. There is always the chance of a letdown against a weak opponent, but I really do not see it here.
NCAA DAILY PREDICTION: NEVADA WOLFPACK -23