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Tennessee vs. Florida Prediction: Can Gators win SEC title game?

Tennessee vs. Florida Tennessee vs. Florida

Number 8 Tennessee and #4 Florida both remain in Nashville to face each other on Sunday afternoon. It’s the SEC Tournament championship game. The game is at 1:00 PM ET on ESPN. Will Florida cover the 4.5-point spread as neutral-site favorites? Keep reading for our Tennessee vs. Florida prediction.

The Tennessee Volunteers are 27-6 straight up in the regular season this year. They are 18-15 ATS this season.

The Florida Gators are 29-4 straight up in the regular season this year. They are 25-8 ATS this season.

Tennessee vs. Florida Matchup & Betting Odds

643 Tennessee Volunteers (+4.5) vs. 644 Florida Gators (-4.5); o/u 142.5

1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, March 16, 2025

Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN

TV: ESPN

Tennessee vs. Florida Public Betting Information

Our CBB Public Betting Information page indicates that 61% of public bettors are currently backing Florida when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.

Tennessee Volunteers Game Notes

Volunteers guard Zakai Zeigler was outstanding in his team’s 70-65 win over Auburn on Saturday afternoon. The 5’9” senior from Long Island, NY put up 20 points, 4 rebounds, 4 assists, a block, and a steal in 35 minutes. Zeigler shot 5 of 11 from the field and 9 of 9 from the foul line in the victory.

Tennessee guard Jordan Gainey made an impact off the bench against the Tigers on Saturday. In 29 minutes, the South Carolina Upstate transfer recorded 15 points, 5 rebounds, and a made three-pointer. Gainey is third on the team in scoring with 10.9 points per game this year.

Florida Gators Game Notes

Gators guard Walter Clayton Jr. was otherworldly in his team’s 104-82 blowout win over Alabama on Saturday. In 30 minutes, the 6’3” senior logged 22 points, 3 rebounds, 6 assists, and 3 steals. Clayton shot 7 of 16 from the floor and 6 of 11 from beyond the arc in the win.

Florida center Rueben Chinyelu posted a double-double against the Crimson Tide on Saturday. The 6’10” sophomore registered 10 points and 10 rebounds in just 16 minutes of playing time. Chinyelu is shooting 59.7% from the field in 2024-25. 

Tennessee is 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

The Volunteers are 9-11 ATS when playing an opponent on equal rest this season.

Florida is 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games against Tennessee.

Florida is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Tennessee vs. Florida CBB Prediction:

The Gators have been on a legendary run against the number this season. Florida is 25-8 ATS overall this year, a figure that ranks third-best in the nation in 2024-25. As you might expect, the Gators have been great in several relevant ATS scenarios this season. Florida is 20-8 ATS after a win and 22-6 ATS as a favorite this year. What’s more, the Gators are 15-5 ATS in conference games and 15-4 ATS when playing an opponent on equal rest this year. Florida has covered 5 games in a row and I like the Gators to extend that streak to 6 on Sunday afternoon. The pick is Florida -4.5 points over Tennessee at Bovada.lv.

Tennessee vs. Florida CBB Prediction: FLORIDA GATORS -4.5 

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