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Wisconsin vs. Michigan Prediction: Can Badgers win by 4+ points?

Wisconsin vs. Michigan Wisconsin vs. Michigan

Number 18 Wisconsin and #22 Michigan both remain in Indianapolis to face each other on Sunday afternoon. It’s the Big Ten Tournament championship game. The game is at 3:30 PM ET on CBS and Paramount+. Can Michigan cover the 3.5-point spread as neutral-site underdogs? Keep reading for our Wisconsin vs. Michigan prediction.

The Wisconsin Badgers are 26-8 straight up in the regular season this year. They are 22-12 ATS this season.

The Michigan Wolverines are 24-9 straight up in the regular season this year. They are 15-18 ATS this season.

Wisconsin vs. Michigan Matchup & Betting Odds

647 Wisconsin Badgers (-3.5) vs. 648 Michigan Wolverines (-3.5); o/u 149.5

3:30 p.m. ET, Sunday, March 16, 2025

Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

TV: CBS/Paramount+

Wisconsin vs. Michigan Public Betting Information

Our CBB Public Betting Information page indicates that 65% of public bettors are currently backing Wisconsin when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.

Wisconsin Badgers Game Notes

Badgers guard John Tonje was excellent in his team’s 77-74 upset win over Michigan State on Saturday. In that game, the senior from Omaha, NE recorded 32 points, 7 rebounds, 2 assists, and a blocked shot in 34 minutes. Tonje shot 8 of 15 from the floor and 12 of 14 from the foul line in the victory.

Wisconsin guard Carter Gilmore provided a spark off the bench against the Spartans on Saturday. In 30 minutes, the senior from Hartland, WI logged 10 points, 5 rebounds, 5 assists, 3 blocks, a steal, and 2 made three-pointers. Gilmore is shooting 46.7% from the field in 18.5 minutes per game this year.

Michigan Wolverines Game Notes

Wolverines center Vladislav Goldin was tremendous in his team’s 81-80 win over Maryland on Saturday. The 7-footer from Nalchick, Russia put up 25 points, 10 rebounds, a steal, and a block in 31 minutes. Goldin shot 9 of 15 from the field and 6 of 6 from the foul line in the win.

Michigan center Danny Wolf posted a double-double in his team’s win over the Terps on Saturday. The Yale transfer registered 21 points, 14 rebounds, 4 assists, and a made three-pointer across 34 minutes. Wolf is second on the team in scoring with 13.0 points per game this season.  

Wisconsin is 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

The Badgers are 16-7 ATS in conference games this season.

Michigan is 8-14 ATS in conference games this season.

Michigan is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

Wisconsin vs. Michigan CBB Prediction:

Wisconsin comes into this game scorching hot. The Badgers inexplicably lost at home to Penn State 86-75 in the last game of the regular season. They’ve played much better since then. Wisconsin has notched wins over Northwestern, UCLA, and Michigan State on their way to the Big Ten Tournament championship game. They find themselves favored in that contest on Sunday.

A few numbers make the case for Wisconsin. The Badgers are 15-9 ATS as a favorite and 10-1 ATS when playing an opponent on equal rest this season. Additionally, Wisconsin is 2-0 ATS when playing on no rest and 5-1 ATS in neutral-site games this year. I think the Badgers complete their redemption arc and win 4 games in 4 days to bring home the Big Ten Tournament title. The pick is Wisconsin -3.5 points over Michigan at Bovada.lv.

Wisconsin vs. Michigan CBB Prediction: WISCONSIN BADGERS -3.5 

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