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Wisconsin vs. Michigan State Prediction: Can Badgers pull upset?

Wisconsin vs. Michigan State Wisconsin vs. Michigan State

Number 18 Wisconsin and #7 Michigan State both remain in Indianapolis to face each other on Saturday afternoon. It’s the semifinals of the Big Ten Tournament. The game is at 1:00 PM ET on CBS and Paramount+. Can Michigan State cover the 2.5-point spread as neutral-site favorites? Keep reading for our Wisconsin vs. Michigan State prediction.

The Wisconsin Badgers are 25-8 straight up in the regular season this year. They are 21-12 ATS this season.

The Michigan State Spartans are 27-5 straight up in the regular season this year. They are 22-9-1 ATS this season.

Wisconsin vs. Michigan State Matchup & Betting Odds

609 Wisconsin Badgers (+2.5) vs. 610 Michigan State Spartans (-2.5); o/u 144.5

1:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, March 15, 2025

Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

TV: CBS/Paramount+

Wisconsin vs. Michigan State Public Betting Information

Our CBB Public Betting Information page indicates that 66% of public bettors are currently backing Michigan State when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.

Wisconsin Badgers Game Notes

Badgers guard John Tonje was incredible in his team’s 86-70 win over UCLA on Friday afternoon. In 28 minutes, the senior from Omaha, NE put up 26 points, 9 rebounds, 4 assists, and a steal. Tonje shot 9 of 10 from the floor and 6 of 6 from beyond the arc in the victory.

Wisconsin guard John Blackwell also had a good showing against the Bruins on Friday. The 6’4” sophomore recorded 18 points, 5 rebounds, 4 assists, and 4 made three-pointers in 27 minutes. Blackwell is second on the team in scoring with 15.4 points per game this season. 

Michigan State Spartans Game Notes

Spartans guard Jaden Akins was solid in his club’s 74-64 win over Oregon on Friday afternoon. The 6’4” senior logged 12 points, 3 rebounds, and 2 steals in 31 minutes. Akins shot 5 of 13 from the field and 1 of 3 from long distance in the win.

Michigan State guard Jase Richardson also played well against the Ducks on Friday. In 31 minutes, the freshman from Denver registered 17 points, 3 rebounds, 2 assists, a steal, and 3 made three-pointers. Richardson is second on the team in scoring with 11.6 points per game this year. 

Wisconsin is 3-4 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

The Badgers are 4-5-1 ATS in conference tournament games since the start of the 2019 season.

Michigan State is 4-3 ATS in their last 7 games against Wisconsin.

Michigan State is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Wisconsin vs. Michigan State CBB Prediction:

Michigan State is an incredible 22-9-1 against the spread this season. That’s tied for the sixth-best mark in the country this year. When you look closer at the numbers, the case for the Spartans to win and cover this game gets even stronger. Michigan State is 17-8 ATS as a favorite and 16-4-1 ATS in conference games in 2024-25. What’s more, the Spartans are 7-3 ATS when playing an opponent on equal rest and 18-8 ATS after a win this season. Michigan State has been the best team in the Big Ten all season, and I think we see that borne out on the floor on Saturday afternoon. The pick is Michigan State -2.5 points over Wisconsin at Bovada.lv.

Wisconsin vs. Michigan State CBB Prediction: MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS -2.5

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