College Football Week 4 Free Picks
(The Spread) – Who are our top plays for Week 4 in college football this Saturday? Read on to find out.
We had our first .500 performance of the year last week as Stanford and Temple covered the spread, but Auburn and Ohio State both failed to show up. That put us at 2-2 for Week 3 and 8-4 for the season. Below are our top 4 selections for Week 4 in college football.
Florida State vs. Clemson, 3:30PM ET
Florida State has really struggled on the road in this series over the years. The Seminoles are 1-5 against the spread in their last six games against the Tigers and 0-7 ATS in their last seven trips to Memorial Stadium. Clemson hasn’t been the pillar of consistency over the years, but it has done well when playing against Florida State and I expect that trend to continue on Saturday.
College Football Week 4 Free Pick: Clemson –2.5
Florida vs. Kentucky, 7:00PM ET
There’s always value in a home team getting points, especially when you consider that the Gators are 1-5-1 against the spread versus a team with a winning record in their last seven games. The Gators are also 1-4 ATS in their last five road games versus a team with a winning record, while the Wildcats are 21-10 ATS in their last 31 games in September. Kentucky is also 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games as a home underdog of 12.5 or greater and should keep things within two scores against Florida this Saturday night.
College Football Week 4 Free Pick: Kentucky +19.5
View College Football Week 4 Point Spreads
Missouri vs. Oklahoma, 8:00PM ET
According to latest college football trends the underdog is 5-2 against the spread, which includes the Tigers’ outright victory over the Sooners last season. The Tigers are also 5-2 against the number in their last seven games following an ATS win and 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up victory. Meanwhile, Oklahoma is just 1-5-1 against the spread in its last seven games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in its previous outing and 0-5 ATS in its last five games after allowing less than 275 total yards in its previous game. The Tigers proved two weeks ago that they can go on the road and at least keep things close in a hostile environment and against a good team when it lost in overtime at Arizona State. I expect MIZZOU to give a similar effort tonight in Norman.
College Football Week 4 Free Pick: Missouri +19.5
Oregon vs. Arizona, 10:15PM ET
For whatever reason, the Ducks have struggled over the years in ‘Zona. Oregon is 1-5 against the spread in its last six games against the Wildcats, while the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these two teams. Arizona is 6-0 against the spread in its last six games as a home underdog of 10.5 points or greater, and 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog. Oregon, meanwhile, is 2-5 ATS in its last seven road games and 2-5 ATS in its last seven games as a road favorite. The Ducks are also 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up victory.
College Football Week 4 Free Pick: Arizona +14.5
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