2011 Outback Bowl Free Pick
Tampa, FL (The Spread) – Urban Meyer will coach his final game at Florida when the Gators take on Penn State in the 2011 Outback Bowl. Will it also be Joe Paterno’s final game as well? Continue reading for picks, odds and trends on this college football bowl matchup.
According to latest college football odds and oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com, Florida is a 7-point favorite over Penn State in the Music City Bowl. The over/under total for this game is currently 48 points.
The Nittany Lions finished their regular season with a 7-5 record but failed to cover the spread in seven of their 12 games according to latest college football trends. The over also hit in seven of their 12 games this season.
The Gators also finished with a 7-5 record and went 6-6 against the spread. They averaged 29.2 points per game in the regular season and 21.1 points against. Their o/u record was 6-6.
2011 Outback Bowl Free Pick:
This could be a defensive battle throughout. Penn State’s defense allowed just 22.6 points per game to rank 40th in the nation in that category. Despite having to replace three starting linebackers, the Lions held opponents to just 187.9 passing yards per game, which ranked them 23rd in the nation and second in the Big Ten. Florida quarterback John Brantley was highly inconsistent this year after having to replace Tim Tebow. He threw just as many interceptions as touchdowns (nine) and threw for over 200 yards only four times. In the Gators’ four losses, he also threw six interceptions and zero touchdowns. This is too even a matchup for Florida to be laying seven points. Bettors often get sucked into taking the teams from better conferences, but this isn’t a very potent Gator team. Our pick is Penn State +7.
2011 OUTBACK BACK FREE PICK: PENN STATE +7
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