UTEP vs. Kansas State Free Pick
MANHATTAN, KS (The Spread) – No. 25 Kansas State will look to bounce back from its loss against Auburn when it hosts unranked UTEP today at 12:00PM ET.
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UTEP: The Minors have built their record to 2-1 with a 42-24 win over New Mexico State two weeks ago as a 10.5-point favorite. They’re a perfect 3-0 against the number with covers as a 10-point dog, a 21-point dog and a 10.5-point favorite. The under is 2-1 in UTEP games this season as Aaron Jones has rushed for 552 yards and a team-high seven touchdowns.
KANSAS STATE: The Wildcats fell to 2-1 with their 20-14 loss to Auburn last Thursday night. They’re now 1-2 against the spread despite covering as a 7-point underdog versus the Tigers, while the over is 2-1 in their games this season. Quarterback Jake Waters struggled in the loss to Auburn but leads the team in both passing (707) and rushing (186). Charles Jones has a team-high five touchdowns.
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, Kansas State is a 26-point favorite over UTEP while the total is currently sitting at 55 points. The Wildcats opened as 31-point favorites before the line was bet down, while the total opened at 58 before also coming down.
NCAA FREE PICK: Take Kansas State. According to latest college football trends, the Wildcats are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games following an ATS win, 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss and 27-13-1 ATS in their last 41 games overall. The Minors, meanwhile, are 1-6 against the spread in their last seven road games, 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 1-4 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
2014 COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 5 FREE PICK: KANSAS STATE WILDCATS -26
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