College Football Picks: Baylor vs. Kansas State total set too low? 9/27/17

Baylor vs. Kansas State Pick

Is the Baylor and Kansas State betting total set too low for Saturday’s 3:30PM ET matchup?

Game Info

Who: Baylor (0-4) at Kansas State (2-1)

When: 3:30PM ET, Saturday, September 30

Where: Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, KS

Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Wildcats are 17-point home favorites to beat the Bears, who opened as a two-touchdown underdog. The total, meanwhile, sits at 59 points after hitting the board at 59.5.

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Baylor Betting Trends

The Bears are 2-5 against the spread in their last seven conference games, they’re 3-8 against the number in their last 11 games overall, and are 1-7 at the betting window in their last eight road games. They’re also just 1-7 against the spread in their last eight games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Kansas State Betting Trends

The Wildcats are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games overall, are 18-7-1 at the betting window in their last 26 games coming off a bye, and are 45-22-1 at the betting window in their last 68 conference games. Finally, they’re 42-20 against the spread in their last 62 home games versus a team with a losing road record.

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OUR PREDICTION: The over is 5-0 in the Wildcats’ last five home games, is 7-2 in their last nine games overall, and is 4-1 in their last five conference games. On the other side, the over is 37-15-1 in the Bears’ last 53 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game and is 33-16-2 in their last 51 games played on fieldturf.

 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 5 PICK: BAYLOR/KANSAS STATE OVER 59