College Football Picks: Mississippi State vs. Auburn to fall short of total?

Mississippi State at Auburn Pick

Will Mississippi State and Auburn turn into a defensive struggle on Saturday when the two teams meet at 6:00PM ET?

Game Info

Who: Mississippi State (3-1) at Auburn (3-1)

When: 6:00PM ET, Saturday, September 30

Where: Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL

Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Tigers are 9-point home favorites versus the Bulldogs, who opened as 10-point underdogs. As for the total, the number currently sits at 50.5 after hitting the board at 49.

Bet College Football Week 5 Games

Mississippi State Betting Trends

The Bulldogs have covered the spread in eight of their last 11 games played in the month of September. They’ve also been a solid play when failing to cover in their previous game. In those last 10 situations, Mississippi State is 7-3 at the betting window.

Auburn Betting Trends

The Tigers have covered in six of their last eight conference games and are 13-6 against the number in their last 19 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous contest. That said, they’re 1-3-1 against the spread in their last five games overall and are 1-4 against the number in their last five home games versus a team with a winning road record.

NCAA FB QUICK LINKS: Scores & Matchups | Injuries | Odds Comparison | Betting Trends | ATS Stats | Standings

OUR PREDICTION: The under is a perfect 5-0 in the last five meetings between these two teams. The under is also 4-1 in the Bulldogs’ last five games overall and 17-5 in their last 22 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. On the other side, the under is 4-0 in the Tigers’ last four home games, is 5-1 in their last six games played in September, and is 10-3 in their last 13 conference games.

 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 5 PICK: MISSISSIPPI STATE/AUBURN UNDER 50.5

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