College Football Picks: Total set too low in Kent State vs. Louisville?

Kent State vs. Louisville Pick

Is the total set too low in Saturday’s matchup between Kent State and Louisville at 12:00PM ET?

Game Info

Who: Kent State (1-2) at Louisville (2-1)

When: 12:00PM ET, Saturday, September 23

Where: Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium, Louisville, KY

Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Cardinals are 44-point home favorites to beat the Golden Flashes after opening as a 37-point favorite. As for the total, the number sits at 55.5 after hitting the board at 57.

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Kent State Betting Trends

The Golden Flashes are just 1-4 against the spread in their last five road games and are 1-4 against the number in their last five games versus ACC competition. They’re winless at the betting window in their last five games overall and are winless at 0-4 against the number in their last four games played in the month of September.

Louisville Betting Trends

The Cardinals are now just 1-6 against the spread in their last seven games dating back to last season. They’re winless at the betting window in their last four games at home as well and are 0-4-1 against the number in their last five non-conference games. That said, they are 6-2-1 against the spread in their last nine games played in the month of September despite starting this season 1-2 ATS.

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OUR PREDICTION: One of two things will happen on Saturday: Either the Cardinals will come out angry or flat following their loss to Clemson last week. I’m banking on the former and thus, love the over. Kent State doesn’t have Clemson’s defensive line and won’t have an answer for Lamar Jackson. The over is 6-1 in the Cardinals’ last seven games in September, is 5-2 in the Golden Flashes’ last seven games overall, and is 10-4 when Jackson and Co. play on fieldturf.

 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 4 PREDICTION: KENT STATE/LOUISVILLE OVER 55.5