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College Football Predictions & Preview: Baylor vs. TCU 11/22/17

Baylor vs. TCU Total Pick

Big 12 rivals Baylor and TCU will meet at 12:00 p.m. ET on Friday. Despite most of their matchups turning into shootouts, will this year’s installment actually produce a defensive struggle?

Game Info

Matchup: Baylor (1-10) at TCU (9-2)

TV: FS1, 12:00 p.m. ET

Line: TCU -24.5

Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the over/under currently sits at 51 points after opening at 50.5. The Horned Frogs, meanwhile, opened as 23.5-point home favorites versus the Bears but are now -24.5 at the majority of online sportsbooks.

Bet College Football Week 13 Games

Who is the Public Backing?

As of Wednesday morning, 66% of tickets are on the Horned Frogs to cover the massive point spread at home.

Key Betting Trends

The underdog is a perfect 6-0 against the spread in the last six meetings between these two teams. So take the Bears right? As Lee Corso would say, “Not so fast.” Baylor is winless at the betting window in its last five games versus TCU and 0-4 against the number in its last four trips to Fort Worth.

OUR PREDICTION: Even though the over has cashed in five of the last six meetings between these two teams, neither of these squads is scoring much right now. The under is a perfect 4-0 in the Bears’ last four games overall, is 4-1 in their last five road games, and is 8-3 in their last 11 games coming off a loss.

On the other side, the under is 4-1 in the Horned Frogs’ last five games, is 5-0 in their last five games played in November, and is 5-0 in their last five games coming off a win. The under has also cashed in 16 of TCU’s last 21 games overall and in 20 of its last 27 conference games.

 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 13 PICK: BAYLOR/TCU UNDER 51

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