Toledo vs. Ball State Pick
Will Toledo cover a lofty spread on the road when the Rockets take on Ball State tonight at 7PM ET in MAC play?
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, Toledo is heavily favored on the road in this one, as the Rockets are getting odds of -25.5 points against Ball State. The over/under total for the contest has been set at 56.5 points. Toledo has won three straight meetings with Ball State, but the Cardinals have covered the spread in four of the last five meetings. The public is currently putting 83 percent of the wagers on Toledo on the road. Tonight’s game takes place from Scheumann Stadium in Muncie, Indiana and will air live on ESPN3.
Ball State is coming off a 56-9 loss at home to Central Michigan this past weekend. The Cardinals are now 2-5 on the year, 0-3 in the MAC and 3-4 against the spread. Ball State has failed to cover in its last three games, as the Cardinals have scored just 15 points in their last three games total. They are now averaging 19.4 points and 344.9 yards per game this season. The team has really struggled over the loss of Riley Neal at QB. He will be out until mid-November with a leg injury. Jack Milas has filled in, but has six interceptions with no touchdowns and is only completing 53.4 percent of his passes. Caleb Huntley has rushed for 467 yards and three touchdowns to lead the offense while Justin Hall has 46 catches for 490 yards and two scores. Defensively, Ball State is allowing 34.7 points and 385.4 yards per game.
Toledo has won three straight following a 48-21 win over Akron. The Rockets are now 6-1 on the season and 3-0 in the MAC. They are also 3-4 against the spread this season. Toledo is posting 38 points and 504.4 yards per game on offense right now. Logan Woodside is leading the team with 2,028 yards and 16 touchdowns and two interceptions. Terry Swanson is the leading rusher with 623 yards and seven touchdowns while Diontae Johnson has 32 catches and 523 yards and six scores. Defensively, Toledo is allowing 26.6 points and 371.3 yards per game.
Ball State just can’t move the ball and score points right now. I think the Rockets should have no problem moving the ball on their end, which should allow for an easy cover when Ball State can’t match the scores. The Rockets are 15-3 against the spread in their last 18 road games and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against a losing team. The road team has also covered in eight of the last nine in this series.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PREDICTION: TOLEDO -25.5