Florida State vs. Louisville Prediction
Both Florida State and Louisville are coming off of big wins. The two ACC schools will square off under the lights on Friday night, and the public is greatly favoring the Seminoles.
Florida State toppled LSU on a missed extra point at the gun and Louisville knocked off Central Florida on the road in a game they were 5.5-point underdogs in.
Game Matchup and Betting Odds
105 Florida State Seminoles -2.5 at 106 Louisville Cardinals +2.5; O/U 57
7:30 PM ET Friday, September 16th, 2022
Cardinal Stadium, Louisville, KY
Florida State vs. Louisville Public Betting Information
The public is hammering Florida State at -2.5. Our CFB Public Betting Page shows that a whopping 83% of public bets are on the road team in this matchup. Do note that those numbers are subject to change and could be different once game time rolls around.
Florida State Seminoles Game Notes
Noles quarterback Jordan Travis will be a big story in this game. He began his football career at the University of Louisville and he’ll be going back there on Friday night. He’s been solid this year, with a total QBR of 84.6, which is good for 15th in the country. He has also yet to turn the ball over and is a major reason why Florida remains unbeaten.
Florida State has three running backs with at least 17 carries that are averaging 5.9 yards per carry or more. The bulk of those carries came in a week 0 win over Duquesne, but it’s still something to monitor.
The breakout star for Florida State last week against LSU was wide receiver Ontaria Wilson. He reeled in 7 passes for 102 yards and 2 touchdowns. He could make a big play or two on Friday night.
Louisville Cardinals Game Notes
For Louisville, it’s all about senior quarterback Malik Cunningham. He played terribly in their week one loss to Syracuse, throwing for only 152 yards with two interceptions. He played much better against Central Florida, throwing for 201 yards and no interceptions while adding 121 rushing yards and a touchdown. He’ll likely need to make some off-schedule plays for Louisville to come out on top.
The result of this game is going to hinge on whether Louisville can stop the run. They’ve given up over 200 yards on the ground in each of their first two games. You could make the case that the Cardinals simply faced two unique players (Syracuse RB Sean Tucker and UCF QB John Rhys Plumlee) and that explains the yardage totals they’ve given up thus far. The Louisville defense does have 6 sacks on the year and if they can pressure FSU QB Jordan Travis they have a real shot at winning this game.
Florida State vs. Louisville Betting Trends
Florida State is 2-14 straight up in their last 16 road games.
Louisville is 12-6 straight up in their last 16 home games.
87% of the handle is on Florida State -2.5.
In their two games this season, Louisville lost as the favorite and won as the underdog.
Florida State is 7-7 against the spread dating back to the beginning of last season.
Louisville is 7-8 against the spread dating back to the beginning of last season.
Florida State vs. Louisville Betting Prediction
LSU QB Jayden Daniels threw for 209 yards and ran for 114 more against Florida State’s defense last week. I think Cardinals QB Malik Cunningham has a huge game and Louisville pulls off the upset.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 3 PREDICTION: Louisville Cardinals +2.5
