Florida vs. Georgia Prediction & Odds
Unranked Florida and #1 Georgia both head to Jacksonville, FL to face off at 3:30 PM ET on Saturday. Can the Bulldogs cover the spread as 22.5-point neutral site favorites?
Florida is 4-3 on the year, with their best wins coming against Utah and Missouri. Their worst losses were to Kentucky and LSU. The Gators are 3-4 ATS on the season.
Georgia is 7-0 on the year with their best wins coming against Oregon and South Carolina. They are looking to remain undefeated this weekend. The Bulldogs are 4-3 ATS on the year.
Game Matchup and Betting Odds
191 Florida Gators +22.5 at 192 Georgia Bulldogs -22.5; O/U 56.5
3:30 PM ET Saturday, October 29th, 2022
TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, FL
Florida vs. Georgia Public Betting Information
The public is favoring the Gators in this game. Our CFB Public Betting Page shows that 64% of public bets are on Florida +22.5. Do note that those numbers are subject to change and could be different once game time rolls around.
Florida Game Notes
Florida quarterback Anthony Richardson has been the X-factor for the Gators this year. Whenever he’s played well, Florida has been competitive, and when he’s struggled so have the Gators. Richardson has run for at least 45 yards in 5 out of Florida’s 7 games, and he’ll probably have to make use of his legs against a Georgia defense that is only allowing 5.5 yards per pass attempt on the season. If Richardson can avoid costly turnovers (he has a 6-7 touchdown pass-to-interception ratio) he may be able to help Florida keep this game close enough to cover.
One way for Florida to slow down the Georgia pass rush is to run the ball. The Gators have a pair of running backs averaging over 6 yards per carry in Montrell Johnson Jr. and Trevor Etienne. Johnson has scored a rushing touchdown in each of the Gators’ last 5 games and he may have to score again on Saturday for Florida to remain competitive against the Bulldogs.
Georgia Game Notes
Georgia’s second-leading rusher Kendall Milton missed last week’s game against Vanderbilt with a groin injury. He is currently listed as questionable for Saturday’s tilt with Florida. If he’s unable to play, the bulk of the carries will likely go to Daijun Edwards and Kenny McIntosh. Both players are averaging over 4.5 yards per carry and have scored 4+ rushing touchdowns on the ground. As usual, Georgia has a stable of running backs, so Milton missing the game might not ultimately matter that much.
Georgia’s defense may have lost several players to the NFL last year, but this year’s squad is still elite. The Bulldogs rank second in opponent points per play (0.181), tenth in opponent yards per play (4.5), third in opponent yards per pass attempt (5.5), and sixth in opponent punts per offensive score (2.2). Georgia’s defense is led by linebacker and leading tackler Jamon Dumas-Johnson (33 total tackles, 2 sacks) and defensive back Malaki Starks (25 total tackles, 4 passes defended, 2 interceptions). If Georgia is going to win by over three touchdowns, their defense will have to be dominant against Florida.
Florida vs. Georgia Betting Trends
Florida is 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 games after allowing over 280 passing yards in their previous game.
Georgia is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win.
The under is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings between Florida and Georgia.
The under is 7-1-1 in Georgia’s last 9 games overall.
Florida vs. Georgia Betting Prediction
Georgia has won 7 of the last 11 matchups between these two teams. Only 3 of those wins were by double digits. It might sound crazy, but Georgia may get caught looking ahead to their game against Tennessee next weekend. The winner of that game will likely represent the SEC East in the SEC Championship Game and be a near-lock to make the playoff. Because of the trap game potential and because I don’t like laying a big number in a rivalry game, I’ll take the Gators and the points.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 9 PREDICTION: FLORIDA GATORS +22.5