Week 11 Top 5 Picks
The experts have spoken. Their picks are in for week 11 and our experts are showing a lot of love to the ACC this week. Three of the top five picks this week from the Spread Experts are ACC Conference teams.
After a steady diet of underdogs the last few weeks our team is also finally back to point spread favorites. Handicapping experts Dave Price, Bill Young, John Martin, Larry Cook and Jeff Alexander give you the best they have to offer for week 11.
1) John Martin – Take Florida Gators
The Florida Gators have too much offense for South Carolina to stay within a touchdown Saturday. The Gators are scoring 40 points a game this season. South Carolina is only averaging 26 points per contest and that is a big reason for their QB controversy right now. South Carolina gave up 48 points to Arkansas last week and their defense just can’t hang with this Gator offense Saturday. Florida will pound the rock to set up play-action pass opportunities and easy scores. The Gamecocks allowed 542 rushing yards to the Razorbacks to tell you how poor their tackling is. South Carolina is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Florida is 26-11 ATS after playing a game at home. The Gators are a great road team, winning all but one road contest against LSU this season. Florida will put up over 50 points in this game which will be more than enough to cover the spread. More from John
2) Dave Price – Take NC State Wolfpack
I like the Wolf Pack at home in this in-state rivalry game. NC State has won 3 straight games. It beat a very good East Carolina team on the road three weeks ago and a pair of ACC rivals (Virginia and Miami) the past two weeks to be knocking on the door of a bowl. The Pack have won 4 straight games ATS. The Tar Heels have lost 6 of their last 8 games and they don’t stand a chance this week. The Wolf Pack are on fire and a win here gets them one step closer to a bowl berth. The Heels are 0-4 in road games this season. The Wolf Pack is clearly playing better football at this stage of the season and they clearly have the momentum. More from Dave
3) Bill Young – Take Maryland Terrapins
Maryland has fallen victim to many close losses this season. They are a much better football team than their record indicates and they will kick Boston College while they are down this weekend. The Golden Eagles got their first taste of defeat against Florida State last weekend. Maryland is 9-3 ATS revenging a loss against an opponent from the year prior. Boston College is 1-8 ATS when playing a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. Maryland is 15-4 ATS in home games off a road loss against a conference rival. All the life has been sucked out of Boston College and now the Terps will take advantage. More from Bill
4) Larry Cook – Take Clemson Tigers
Clemson won last year’s meetings with the defending ACC Champs in Wake Forest 27-17 on the road. Now the Tigers get their shot at the Demon Deacons on their home turf in 2007. The Tigers have improved since last season with a proven QB in Cullen Harper leading the way. Wake Forest has taken a step backwards after their miracle season a year ago. Clemson is 6-0 ATS in home games after allowing less than 225 total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Clemson is scoring 49 points a game while giving up just 13.7 point per game in their last 3 contests. Wake Forest Head Coach Jim Grobe is 0-8 ATS off a loss by 3 points or less. Tommy Bowden is 15-4 ATS as the coach of Clemson when his teams allow less than 225 yards of total offense in their previous game. This Tigers’ defense is finally kicking it in gear to compliment their explosive offense. More from Larry
5) Jeff Alexander – Take UTEP Miners
At 9-19 ATS in all games over the last 3 seasons, Tulane is quickly becoming a poor choice by sports bettors. The Green Wave has been even worse in conference play with a 2-10 ATS mark against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. This history of Tulane being a bad covering team is not just recent. The Green Wave is just 15-31 ATS as a home underdog since 1992. Here’s their poison. Tulane is 0-7 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game over the last 3 seasons. UTEP is a great offensive team and has pounding Tulane each of the last two seasons. More from Jeff
Related Links
– College Football Week 11 Previews
– More Free Picks from the Spread Experts
– Who is the public betting in week 11?
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