Oregon State vs. Utah Prediction & Odds
Number 12 Utah hosts conference opponent Oregon State at 2:00 PM ET on Saturday. Can the Utes cover the double-digit spread as home favorites and stay undefeated in conference play?
Oregon State is 3-1 on the season, with wins over Boise State, Fresno State, and Montana State. They lost at home to USC 17-14 last weekend. The Beavers are 4-0 ATS on the season.
Utah is 3-1 with wins over Southern Utah, San Diego State, and Arizona State already on the season. They lost to Florida 29-26 in week 1. The Utes are 3-1 ATS on the year.
Game Matchup and Betting Odds
163 Oregon State Beavers +10 at 164 Utah Utes -10; O/U 54.5
2:00 PM ET Saturday, October 1st, 2022
Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, Utah
Oregon State vs. Utah Public Betting Information
The public is slightly favoring the Beavers in this game. Our CFB Public Betting Page shows that 51% of public bets are on Oregon State +10. Do note that those numbers are subject to change and could be different once game time rolls around.
Oregon State Game Notes
Oregon State has used three running backs to great effect this season. They’re led by Deshaun Fenwick who leads the Beavers in carries, yards, and rushing touchdowns. The other two running backs are Jam Griffin and Damien Martinez. Both secondary backs have 20+ carries, 120+ rushing yards, and at least one rushing touchdown on the season. If Oregon State is going to cover this game, they’ll likely need to run the ball effectively so that they don’t put everything on QB Chance Nolan’s shoulders. Nolan threw 4 interceptions in the Beavers’ home loss to USC last weekend, and Oregon State will have a difficult time covering this game if he turns the ball over multiple times again. A note to that effect: Utah is tied for 20th in the country with an average turnover margin of +1 per game.
Utah Game Notes
For Utah, it’s all about their defense. The Utes gave up 29 points to Florida in week 1 as the Gators got an otherworldly performance from their quarterback Anthony Richardson. But since then, Utah has only allowed 27 total points in 3 games. Their leading tackler is safety Cole Bishop who also has 2 passes defended, a sack, and an interception on the season. As for rushing the passer, the Utes can do that too. Defensive ends Gabe Reid and Van Fillinger both have 2.5 sacks on the season, and they combined for 3 sacks in the Utes’ win over Arizona State last weekend. If Utah can hold Oregon State to under 17 points like the Utes do on average (16.3 points allowed per game) they have a good chance of winning and covering this game.
Oregon State vs. Utah Betting Trends
Oregon State is 12-12 straight up since the beginning of 2020.
Utah is 16-7 straight up since the beginning of 2020.
65% of the handle is on Oregon State +10.
Oregon State is 11-6 ATS dating back to the beginning of last year.
Utah is 10-8 ATS dating back to the beginning of last season.
Utah is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after gaining 450 total yards in the previous game.
Utah is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
The over is 7-1 in Oregon State’s last 8 games after allowing fewer than 20 points in their previous game.
The road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between Oregon State and Utah.
Oregon State vs. Utah Betting Prediction
Utah won the Pac-12 last season and nearly won the Rose Bowl against Ohio State. The Utes’ only conference hiccup last year was a 42-34 loss to Oregon State in Corvallis, OR. Many of the players from that team are back and there’s no doubt that they’ll want to avenge that loss this season. Many people might be on Oregon State because they held USC to 17 points last week. But it’s worth noting that USC ran for 177 yards on 4.8 yards per carry. I think Utah is a better running team than USC and that combined with the potential for Oregon State turnovers and the revenge factor leads me to my pick. I’ll lay the points with Utah.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 5 PREDICTION: UTAH UTES -10
