San Diego St. vs. Oregon St. Prediction
Unranked San Diego State heads north to Corvallis to take on #16 Oregon State at 3:30 PM ET on Saturday on FS1. Can the Beavers cover the sizable 24.5-point spread as home favorites this weekend?
San Diego State is 2-1 straight up this season and 1-2 against the spread. Their best win came against Ohio.
Oregon State is 2-0 straight up this season and 2-0 against the spread. Their best win came against San Jose State.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
155 San Diego State Aztecs (+24.5) at 156 Oregon State Beavers (-24.5); O/U 48
3:30 PM ET, Saturday, September 16, 2023
Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR
San Diego State vs. Oregon State Public Betting Information
As of this writing, the public is favoring the Beavers in this game. Our CFB Public Betting page shows that 79% of public bets are on Oregon State -24.5. Note that these numbers are subject to change and could be different once game time rolls around.
San Diego State Aztecs Game Notes
San Diego State wide receiver Mekhi Shaw was the team’s best offensive skill player in their 35-10 loss to UCLA on Saturday. Shaw caught 5 passes for 54 yards and a touchdown against the Bruins this past weekend. For the season, Mekhi Shaw leads the team with 104 receiving yards and is averaging 11.6 yards per reception on the campaign.
The Aztecs’ most impactful defensive player on Saturday was linebacker Zyrus Fiaseu. The 6’0” 220-pound sophomore from Las Vegas filled up the stat sheet as he recorded a team-high 10 total tackles, a sack, 2 tackles for loss, and a pass defended against the Bruins this past Saturday. If San Diego State’s front seven can pressure Oregon State QB DJ Uiagalelei, they have a shot to keep this one competitive.
Oregon State Beavers Game Notes
Oregon State starting wide receiver Anthony Gould missed last week’s game with an unspecified ailment, but he’s listed as probable for Saturday’s tilt with San Diego State. Gould had 3 catches for 59 yards and a touchdown in Oregon State’s 42-17 Week 1 win over San Jose State and ranks second on the team in receiving yards this season despite missing a game.
The star of Oregon State’s Week 2 win over UC-Davis was running back Damien Martinez. Martinez only carried the ball 7 times, but he made the most of those opportunities as he racked up 104 rushing yards and a touchdown to help spur the Beavers to a 55-7 blowout win. How San Diego State handles OSU running back Damien Martinez could end up deciding the outcome of this game.
San Diego State vs. Oregon State Betting Trends
The under is 9-7 in San Diego State’s last 16 games.
The over is 9-6 in Oregon State’s last 15 games.
San Diego State was 3-2 ATS as the road team last season.
San Diego State vs. Oregon State Betting Prediction
This might be a borderline trap game for Oregon State. The Beavers head up to Pullman next week to face #23 Washington State in a huge matchup between the only two teams remaining in the Pac-12. It seems quite possible that Oregon State could overlook San Diego State at home as massive favorites this Saturday.
The Aztecs will need to get after the quarterback if they’re going to keep this game close. San Diego State did just that last year as they ranked 18th in the country with 2.8 sacks per game. This year has been more of the same as the Aztecs rank 51st in the country with 2.0 sacks per game in 2023. I know Oregon State QB DJ Uiagalelei has looked a lot better this year than he did at Clemson last year, but I need to see him put up numbers against teams other than San Jose State and UC Davis before I fully buy in. For all of those reasons, I’ll take San Diego State and the points in Corvallis on Saturday.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 3 PREDICTION: SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS +24.5