USC vs. Arizona State Prediction
Can USC stay in the Pac-12 mix on Saturday when the Trojans go on the road to face Arizona State at 3:30PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
105 Miami (Ohio) vs. 106 Ohio
Saturday, November 9, 2019
3:30PM ET – Sun Devil Stadium
TV: ABC
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Arizona State is favored at home, as the Sun Devils are getting odds of -1.5 points against USC. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 57 points. The public betting currently has 60 percent going on Arizona State as the home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Trojans beat up by Oregon
USC was on a two-game win streak, but the Trojans are coming off a 56-24 loss at home to Oregon last week. That loss dropped USC to 5-4 on the season, 4-2 in the Pac-12, 4-5 against the spread and 5-4 with the under.
The Trojans are a respectable offensive team this year, averaging 30.4 points and 432.7 yards per game. Defensively, USC is giving up 28.3 points and 426.8 yards per contest. Kedon Slovis has thrown for 1,889 yards and 16 touchdowns to lead the offense while Michael Pittman Jr. has 58 catches for 792 yards and eight touchdowns. Vavae Malepeai remains the leading rusher with 406 yards, but he has been out with a knee injury for multiple weeks.
ASU on a slide
Arizona State was once ranked, but the Sun Devils have lost two straight road games to Utah and UCLA to fall to 5-3 on the season. The Sun Devils are just 2-3 in the Pac-12, 3-5 against the spread and 5-3 with the under this year.
ASU doesn’t have a great offense this season, averaging only 23.4 points and 366.9 yards per game. Defensively, the Sun Devils are giving up 21.1 points and 357.8 yards per game. Jayden Daniels is leading the Sun Devils this year with 1,902 passing yards and 11 touchdowns, while also rushing for 273 yards and three scores. Eno Benjamin is the team’s leading rusher with 679 yards and seven touchdowns while Brandon Aiyuk is the leading receiver with 38 receptions for 740 yards and five scores.
College Football Betting Trends
USC
The Trojans are 7-18-1 against the spread in their last 26 road games and 10-22-1 ATS int heir last 33 games overall.
Arizona State
The Sun Devils are 1-4 against the spread in their last five home games and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games on grass.
Prediction:
The road team has won and covered the spread in four of the last five meetings, with USC winning and covering the spread in three of the last four games overall. USC got embarrassed last week, but seemed like it had been playing some good football as of late. While Arizona State has some nice wins this year, the Sun Devils haven’t shown an ability to pull away from anyone and struggles to make up late-game deficits. I think this is a good matchup for USC. Despite the defensive struggles, ASU isn’t a team that can take advantage of that. The USC offense can find some holes in the Sun Devil defense, however.
College Football Week 11 Prediction: USC +1.5