Jets vs. Patriots Free Pick
FOXBORO, MA (ATS Consultants) – The Patriots will host the Jets tonight on Thursday Night Football in a game that should sail over the posted total for bettors.
ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Patriots are 9.5-point favorites over the Jets, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 44.5 points. As of this writing, 67% of public bettors currently favor New England minus the points.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Patriots opened as 8.5-point favorites but the line for this game has jumped to either 9.5 or 10, depending on which sports book you view. As for the total, it opened at 47.5 and has dropped all the way down to 44.5 at most books.
SEASON RECORDS: The Jets enter play with a 1-5 record and on a five-game losing streak, while they’re also 0-5-1 against the spread in 2014. The Patriots, meanwhile, are 4-2 straight up but 3-3 at the betting window, while the over is a combined 7-5 in these teams’ 12 games this season.
NFL FREE PICK: Take the over. According to latest NFL trends, the over is 8-1-1 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams and 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings in New England. The over is also 4-0 in the Jets’ last four games in Week 7, 13-6 in their last 19 games in October and 4-1 in their last five games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. On the other side, the over is 14-3 in the Patriots’ last 17 home games versus a team with a losing road record, 5-1 in their last six Thursday games and 8-2 in their last 10 games in October.
2014 NFL WEEK 7 FREE PICK: JETS/PATRIOTS OVER 44.5
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