The Commanders are 6-point home favorites on Thursday night against the visiting Bears. Is Washington a good bet to cover or is Chicago the smarter play? Check out our Bears vs. Commanders prediction, as well as betting odds and trends on tonight’s matchup.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
305 Chicago Bears (+6) at 306 Washington Commanders (-6); o/u 44.5
8:15 p.m. ET, Thursday, October 5, 2023
FedExField, Landover, MD
TV: PRIME VIDEO
Bears vs. Commanders Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 61% of public bettors are currently backing the Commanders when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Chicago Bears DFS Spin
ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler reports “several teams believe the Bears will end up releasing Chase Claypool.” Claypool was a healthy scratch in Week 4 after telling reports he wasn’t being used to his full potential by the Bears coaching staff. He has already been listed as out for Week 5 as well. The Bears are reportedly seeking a late-round pick for Claypool on the trade market, but it’s hard to imagine there will be any takers. A team will take a flyer on him once he is cut, but it doesn’t look like Chicago will recoup anything in this fiasco of a maneuverer that cost them the 32nd-overall pick.
Washington Commanders DFS Spin
Curtis Samuel (quad) was removed from the Week 5 injury report and will play against the Bears. Samuel was estimated as a DNP for Washington’s first practice of the week, a walkthrough on Monday. He returned to practice the following day and is good to go for Week 5. Samuel is second on the Commanders in receptions and receiving yards through four games. He will look to stay in the fantasy WR4 conversation versus a weak Chicago defense this week.
Bears vs. Commanders Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago’s last 8 games on the road
The over/under has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington’s last 5 games at home
Washington is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Chicago
Bears vs. Commanders Prediction:
Take Washington. The Bears have lost 14 straight games dating back to last season, which is the longest streak in team history and second longest in the NFL in the last five seasons. They’ve also allowed 25-plus points in each of their 14 losses during that streak, which is the most consecutive games giving up 25 or more points in NFL history. Justin Fields also has 12 straight losses as a starter, which is the longest streak by a Bears quarterback in the Super Bowl era. This team finds ways to lose – no need to back them tonight as a road underdog.
Bears vs. Commanders NFL Prediction: Washington Commanders -6
