With the total sitting at 44.5, the Bears and Commanders combine for enough points to push the score over the total? Check out our Bears vs. Commanders Over/Under prediction, as well as trends and odds for tonight’s matchup.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
305 Chicago Bears (+6) at 306 Washington Commanders (-6); o/u 44.5
8:15 p.m. ET, Thursday, October 5, 2023
FedExField, Landover, MD
TV: PRIME VIDEO
Bears vs. Commanders Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 61% of public bettors are currently backing the Commanders when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Chicago Bears DFS Spin
Khalil Herbert played on 56-of-72 snaps in the Bears’ Week 4 loss to the Broncos. Despite reports that rookie Roschon Johnson “will gradually see an enhanced role” in the offense, Herbert emerged to see a season-high 78 percent of the team’s backfield snaps. His previous high came in Week 2 when he was in on 60 percent of the snaps. In addition to the high snap share, Herbert also ran 26 routes to Johnson’s five, which tied for the second-most routes run in Herbert’s career. Those waiting for Johnson to emerge as the starter could be waiting a little longer, as Herbert was highly efficient with his touches, averaging 5.5 yards per touch and 5.7 yards per carry. Johnson remains a strong handcuff to Herbert but is off the fantasy radar in Week 5 against the Commanders.
Washington Commanders DFS Spin
Jahan Dotson (ankle) will play in Week 5 against the Bears. Dotson briefly left the Commanders’ Week 4 game against the Eagles with an ankle injury but managed to return to action after a short stint on the sidelines. He would go on to snag the game-tying touchdown that sent the matchup into overtime. Dotson’s practice reps were limited to open the week, but he is good to go for Week 5. Versus a dreadful Chicago secondary, Dotson will have a strong shot at posting WR2 numbers.
Bears vs. Commanders Betting Trends
The Over/Under has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago’s last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The Over/Under has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington’s last 5 games at home
Washington is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Chicago
Bears vs. Commanders Prediction:
Take the over/ The Bears have allowed 25 or more points in each of their 14 consecutive losses dating back to last season. Their 137 points allowed through their first four games are also the most in franchise history. The Commanders, meanwhile, have allowed 30 or more points in three straight games. They’ve also surrendered 30 or more points in four consecutive games, so neither team figures to play much defense tonight.
Bears vs. Commanders NFL Prediction: OVER 44.5