Bears vs. Patriots Over/Under Prediction
Unders have been cashing at a ridiculous rate in the NFL this season, but is the number sitting too low for tonight’s Monday Night Football matchup between the Bears and Patriots? Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
475 Chicago Bears (+8.5) at 476 New England Patriots (-8.5); o/u 40.5
8:15 p.m. ET, Monday, October 24, 2022
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Browns vs. Ravens Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 77% of public bettors are currently backing the Patriots when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Chicago Bears DFS Spin
David Montgomery rushed 15 times for 67 yards in the Bears’ Week 6 loss to the Commanders, adding a 13-yard reception. Pro Football Focus charted Montgomery decisively out-snapping Khalil Herbert 56-16, but it was sophomore Herbert who out-gained Montgomery 75-67 on the ground despite eight fewer carries. It is true that 64 yards of Herbert’s production came on one mesmerizing second quarter run, but he continues to pop in most advanced metrics compared to his fourth-year teammate. The Bears, for their part, seem completely committed to Montgomery, while both backs were actually out-gained on the ground by Justin Fields this evening. The Patriots’ run defense has been struggling, but Montgomery will remain a back-end RB2 for Week 7.
New England Patriots DFS Spin
Patriots RB Damien Harris will play Monday against the Bears. Harris returned to full practices this week, so it comes as no surprise that he has been removed from the injury report entirely. Expect Harris to rejoin backfield-mate Rhamondre Stevenson to form a tandem likely to be busy against a Bears team surrendering almost 26 PPR points per game to opposing backfields. Fantasy managers can feel comfortable inserting Harris back into starting lineups as an upside RB2 for Week 7.
Bears vs. Patriots Betting Trends
Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings
Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings
Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games
Monday Night Football Over/Under Prediction:
The over is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these two teams, is 4-0 in the Bears’ last four games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game and is 5-1 in their last six games coming off an ATS loss. On the other side, the over is 7-1 in the Patriots’ last eight home games, is 7-3 in their last 10 games overall and has hit in five of their previous seven games following a win of more than 14 points.
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL OVER/UNDER PREDICTION: BEARS/PATRIOTS OVER 40.5