Bills vs. Dolphins Prediction & Odds
A pair of 2-0 division rivals will clash in South Beach on Sunday when the Dolphins host the Bills at 1:00 p.m. ET. With the way both teams can score, is the smart money on the over to cash in this AFC East matchup?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
463 Buffalo Bills (-5.5) at 464 Miami Dolphins (+5.5); o/u 52.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, September 25, 2022
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
Bills vs. Dolphins Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 66% of public bettors are currently backing the Bills when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Buffalo Bills DFS Spin
Josh Allen completed 26-of-38 passes for 317 yards and four touchdowns in the Bills’ 41-7, Week 2 win over the Titans, adding one carry for 10 additional yards. Like a cheap folding table in an Orchard Park parking lot, Allen crushed the Titans for three and a half quarters in this one. Allen and the Bills got things started in the first quarter when he found fullback Reggie Gilliam for an 11-yard score, but things were just getting started. Allen would later connect with Stefon Diggs on a four-yard touchdown to end the second quarter, and found his No. 1 receiver for two more scores in the third quarter, hitting him on touchdown scores from 14 and 46 yards out. With a 41-7 lead in place by the end of the third quarter, the Bills would mercifully pull Allen, ending what could have been a much bigger day. Allen and the Bills travel to Miami to face the Dolphins in Week 3.
Miami Dolphins DFS Spin
Tua Tagovailoa completed 35-of-50 pass attempts for 468 yards, six touchdowns, and two interceptions in the Dolphins’ 42-48 Week 2 win against the Ravens. In another pass-heavy attack, Tagovailoa picked apart Baltimore’s banged-up secondary with short passes Jaylen Waddle and downfield shots — however underthrown — to Tyreek Hill. Tagovailoa led Miami back from a massive second half deficit while the Dolphins defense mostly contained Lamar Jackson and the Ravens passing offense in the fourth quarter. Miami kept Tua clean in the pocket for much of the second half after struggling to protect him in the first half. And Tua delivered over and over again against a Baltimore coverage unit that stood no chance against Waddle and Hill. Waddle caught Tua’s sixth touchdown to take the lead with under a minute to play. On the day, Waddle saw an absurd 19 targets. If Miami’s offense remains unapologetically pass heavy, Hill and Waddle could be elite fantasy options every week. Tua has thrown 83 passes through two weeks in the team’s new offense.
Bills vs. Dolphins Betting Trends
Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings
Bills are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings
Bills vs. Dolphins Prediction:
The over is 4-1 in the Bills’ last five conference games, is 20-9-1 in their last 30 games coming off a win and has cashed in seven of their last 10 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous contest. On the other side, the over is 7-3 in the Dolphins’ last 10 games versus an opponent with a winning record, is 7-3 in their last 10 games playing in Week 3 and is 5-1 in their last six games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
NFL WEEK 3 PREDICTION: BILLS/DOLPHINS OVER 52.5