Bills vs. Patriots Total Prediction
The total for tonight’s Thursday Night Football matchup between the Bills and Patriots opened at 45 points but has dropped to 43.5. Is it smart to follow that line movement and take the under?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
301 Buffalo Bills (-4) at 302 New England Patriots (+4); o/u 43.5
8:15 p.m. ET, Thursday, December 1, 2022
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Bills vs. Patriots Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 61% of public bettors are currently backing the Bills when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Buffalo Bills DFS Spin
Stefon Diggs caught eight of 15 targets for 77 yards and a touchdown in Thursday’s 28-25 win over the Lions. After struggling to make a mark in the first half, Diggs came up huge down the stretch, catching a five-yard TD pass with less than three minutes left in the fourth quarter before hauling in a 36-yard strike from Josh Allen with 23 seconds left to help set up Tyler Bass’ game-winning field goal. Diggs now has nine touchdowns on the season, one short of his career high, and he’s also on pace for personal bests in catches and receiving yards heading into a crucial Week 13 road tilt against the Patriots.
New England Patriots DFS Spin
Mac Jones completed 28 of 39 passes for 382 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions in the Patriots’ 33-26 loss to the Vikings on Thursday night. He also fumbled once but recovered. Jones put together his most productive day of the season yardage-wise in the losing effort while completing four passes of greater than 30 yards. The second-year signal-caller hit Nelson Agholor and Hunter Henry for his pair of touchdown passes, and he had a second one to the latter reversed on replay as well. Nevertheless, the multi-score tally was Jones’ first of the season, and he’s now thrown for an impressive 628 yards over his last two outings. Jones will be right be back in action next Thursday night for key primetime divisional home clash against the Bills.
Bills vs. Patriots Betting Trends
Underdog is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings
Bills are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings
Road team is 19-7-2 ATS in their last 28 meetings
Bills are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings in New England
Bills vs. Patriots Prediction:
The under is 6-0 in the Bills’ last six road games, is 5-1 in their last six conference games and is 4-0 in their last four games played on Thursday. On the other side, the under is 4-1 in the Patriots’ last five games following a loss, is 6-1 in their last seven games played in December and is 5-2 in their last seven conference games.
NFL WEEK 13 PREDICTION: BILLS/PATRIOTS UNDER 43.5
