Bills vs. Patriots Prediction & Odds
AFC East rivals clash on Thursday Night Football tonight in Foxborough, MA where the Patriots will host the Bills at 8:15 p.m. ET. Will Buffalo continue its ATS success tonight against New England?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
301 Buffalo Bills (-4) at 302 New England Patriots (+4); o/u 43.5
8:15 p.m. ET, Thursday, December 1, 2022
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Bills vs. Patriots Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 61% of public bettors are currently backing the Bills when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Buffalo Bills DFS Spin
Josh Allen logged his first full practice Monday since suffering a right elbow injury against the Jets in Week 9, Alaina Getzenberg of ESPN.com reports. Despite being limited at practice over the past three weeks due to an elbow injury he suffered in the team’s Week 9 loss to the Jets, Allen still has suited up for three straight games, leading the Bills to a 2-1 record. During that stretch, Allen has completed 63.4 percent of his passes for 780 yards, four touchdowns and three interceptions. The issue doesn’t appear to be impacting his throwing ability too much, but it’s a positive sign to see the superstar quarterback return to full practices for the first time in a month. Allen shouldn’t have any limitations heading into Thursday’s divisional showdown against New England.
New England Patriots DFS Spin
Rhamondre Stevenson’s teammate Damien harris (thigh) has been ruled out for Thursday’s game against Buffalo. Stevenson has been the lead back even when Harris is healthy, and the second-year pro then sees even more work when his teammate is out, averaging 15.4 carries and 6.4 targets in the five games Harris has missed or left early with an injury. The Bills present a tough matchup, but Stevenson’s workload projection is among the best of all running backs for Week 13, and his involvement as a pass catcher keeps him somewhat protected against the game-script concerns that often plague bigger backs.
Bills vs. Patriots Betting Trends
Underdog is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings
Under is 7-2 in Bills last 9 games overall
Under is 6-0 in Bills last 6 road games
Over is 8-3 in Patriots last 11 home games
Bills vs. Patriots Prediction:
The Bills are 5-2-1 against the spread in their last eight games versus the Patriots and are 3-0-1 against the number in their last four games in New England. They’re also 12-3 in their last 15 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game, are 7-3-1 against the number in their last 11 divisional games and are 8-3-2 at the betting window in their last 13 games following an ATS loss. The Patriots, meanwhile, are 1-5 against the spread in their last six games played in December and are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
NFL WEEK 13 PREDICTION: BUFFALO BILLS -4
