The Denver Broncos head to Chicago to take on the Bears on Sunday afternoon when Week 4’s afternoon slate begins at 1:00 PM ET on CBS. Can the Bears cover the 3.5-point spread as home underdogs? Read on to get our Brocnos vs. Bears Betting Prediction!
The Denver Broncos are 0-3 straight up through their first 3 games of 2023. The Broncos are 0-3 ATS this season.
The Chicago Bears are 0-3 straight up on the year. The Bears are 0-3 ATS this season.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
257 Denver Broncos (-3.5) at 258 Chicago Bears (+3.5); O/U 46.5
1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 1, 2023
Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
Broncos vs. Bears Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that the public favors the Broncos in this game. According to our numbers, 75% of public bets are on Denver -3.5. Please note that this information is subject to change all the way up to kickoff, so be sure to check the link before you pick so you’re receiving the most accurate and up-to-date public betting data.
Denver Broncos DFS Spin
Denver starting safety Justin Simmons is questionable for Sunday’s game with a hip injury. Simmons missed the Broncos’ last game with the same injury. He has 14 total tackles in 2 games this season.
Broncos starting inside linebacker Josey Jewell will be out with a hip injury Sunday. Jewell is second on the club in total tackles with 19 this season. Denver will be without a pair of backups as well this weekend. Outside linebacker Frank Clark will be out with a hip ailment and defensive tackle Mike Purcell will miss Sunday’s game with a rib injury. Broncos wide receiver Jerry Jeudy had been dealing with a knee injury but he was a full practice participant on Friday and should be good to go this weekend.
Chicago Bears DFS Spin
The Bears will be without two starting defensive backs against the Broncos on Sunday. Cornerback Jaylon Johnson will be out with a hamstring ailment, and safety Eddie Jackson will miss the contest with a foot injury. Making matters worse for Chicago, Bears backup cornerback Josh Blackwell was placed on injured reserve with a hamstring injury, so he’ll miss Sunday’s contest plus a few more after that.
On the plus side, Bears starting cornerback Tyrique Stevenson had been dealing with an illness this week, but he’s been removed from the injury report, signaling that he’ll be able to play this weekend. Chicago will likely need him with the slew of injuries in their secondary.
![Broncos vs. Bears Odds](https://www.thespread.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/2023-bears-herbert-WP.jpg)
Broncos vs. Bears Betting Trends
Chicago is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games.
Bears QB Justin Fields is 8-20 ATS in his career.
Broncos head coach Sean Payton is 140-118-3 ATS in his career.
The over is 7-3 in Denver’s last 10 games.
Broncos vs. Bears Betting Prediction:
These are the NFL’s two worst defenses when it comes to points per play allowed. The Bears rank 31st in the league in opponent points per play at 0.522 and Denver ranks dead last in the league in that same metric at 0.635. Because of this, the over on the total of 46.5 might be worth a look. But there’s only one side to take in this game.
Chicago Bears QB Justin Fields is dead last in the NFL in total QBR among qualified quarterbacks at 21.3. The second-worst QB in that stat is New York Jets signal caller Zach Wilson, who has a total QBR of 27.1. By that metric, Justin Fields is somehow significantly worse than Zach Wilson, who is one of the worst current starters in the NFL.
Denver will also have the coaching advantage with Sean Payton at the helm. Over the past 20 years, Sean Payton has been the third-most profitable coach against the spread behind only Bill Belichick and Mike McCarthy. As bad as Denver has been, I believe that the Bears are even worse, which is why I’m laying the points with the Broncos on the road this weekend.