AFC West Division rivals clash at Arrowhead Stadium on Thursday night, where the Chiefs will host the Broncos at 8:15 p.m. ET. With Kansas City listed as a 10.5-point home favorite, what’s the best bet when it comes to the spread in this Broncos vs. Chiefs matchup?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
111 Denver Broncos (+10.5) at 112 Kansas City Chiefs (-10.5); o/u 47.5
8:15 p.m. ET, Thursday, October 12, 2023
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
TV: PRIME VIDEO
Broncos vs. Chiefs Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 69% of public bettors are currently backing the Chiefs when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Denver Broncos DFS Spin
Javonte Williams (quad) was removed from the injury report and will play against the Chiefs. Williams missed Week 5 with the quad injury but was a full participant in Tuesday and Wednesday’s practices. Though Williams should draw the start, it’s possible Sean Payton will turn the backfield into a three-man committee in his first game back. Samaje Perine has been playing on passing downs all year and UDFA rookie Jaleel McLaughlin has been electric with the ball in his hands since Williams went down. Williams will rank as an RB3 for Week 6 against the Chiefs.
Kansas City Chiefs DFS Spin
NFL Insider Jordan Schultz reports Chiefs TE Travis Kelce (ankle) is expected to play Thursday. Kelce hurt his ankle just a few days ago in a Week 5 matchup against the Vikings. He left the game but came back and finished with 10 receptions and a touchdown. Kelce’s ankle responded well and he was listed as limited in practice on both Tuesday and Wednesday. As Patrick Mahomes’ top target, Kelce is the centerpiece of the Chiefs passing game. He is a TE1 even with any ankle concerns for a Week 6 Thursday night matchup against the Broncos.
Broncos vs. Chiefs Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Denver’s last 10 games
The Over/Under has gone OVER in 4 of Denver’s last 5 games on the road
The Chiefs are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Broncos vs. Chiefs Prediction:
Take Denver. The Chiefs have won 15 straight games against the Broncos, which is tied for the fourth-longest winning streak versus a single opponent all-time. That said, while Kansas City defeated Denver in both matchups between the divisional rivals last season, the Chiefs failed to cover in both games. They defeated the Broncos 34-28 in Denver on December 11, but failed to cover as an 8.5-point road favorite despite jumping out to a big lead in the first half. Then, at Arrowhead a few weeks later, the Chiefs beat the Broncos by a field goal as a 13.5-point favorite.
The Chiefs also don’t look right offensively. Patrick Mahomes continues to figure out ways to win games, but Kelce is dealing with an ankle injury on top of a knee problem he suffered in practice before the team’s season opener. Without Kelce at 100%, no other receiver in Kansas City’s offense has stepped up. I think this number is too big for a divisional game.
Broncos vs. Chiefs NFL Prediction: DENVER BRONCOS +10.5