With the number currently sitting at 47.5, what’s the best bet when it comes to the total for Thursday Night Football’s matchup between the Broncos and Chiefs at 8:15 p.m. ET? Check out betting odds, trends and our Broncos vs. Chiefs prediction ahead.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
111 Denver Broncos (+10.5) at 112 Kansas City Chiefs (-10.5); o/u 47.5
8:15 p.m. ET, Thursday, October 12, 2023
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
TV: PRIME VIDEO
Broncos vs. Chiefs Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 69% of public bettors are currently backing the Chiefs when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Denver Broncos DFS Spin
NFL Network’s James Palmer reports “changes could be coming” after the Broncos lost to the Jets in Week 5. “The sense I get is a potential tear down is coming,” according to Palmer, starting with Thursday night’s matchup with the Chiefs. The Broncos sent DE Randy Gregory to the 49ers last week and are rumored to be shopping EDGE Frank Clark and WRs Courtland Sutton/Jerry Jeudy ahead of the trade deadline. Denver (1-4) faces Kansas City and Buffalo in three of the next four weeks, giving little hope of turning around the season. A Week 6 shakeup could lead to more touches for rookies Jaleel McLaughlin and Marvin Mims, who lead the team in yards on 20% of snaps.
Kansas City Chiefs DFS Spin
Rashee Rice caught 4-of-5 targets for 33 yards and a touchdown in the Chiefs’ Week 5 win over the Vikings. Rice, like the other Kansas City wide receivers, continues to be highly reliant on finding the end zone to return any semblance of fantasy value. The good news is the score marked his second trip to paint this season. Either way, the per-game upside for Rice remains low considering low route participation and a short aDOT. Fantasy managers still holding onto the potential for more might want to explore the trade market.
Broncos vs. Chiefs Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Denver’s last 10 games
The Over/Under has gone OVER in 4 of Denver’s last 5 games on the road
The Chiefs are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Broncos vs. Chiefs Prediction:
Take the over. The Broncos have allowed 36.2 points per game this season, which ranks dead last in the NFL. In fact, they’re allowing 15.1 points per game this season than last, which would be the largest increase from the previous season in the Super Bowl era.
Patrick Mahomes, meanwhile, threw six touchdown passes last season against the Broncos, although he also was intercepted four times. With Travis Kelce banged-up, Mahomes has had some issues getting in sync with his other receivers, which has led to turnovers. Russell Wilson has also been a turnover machine this season, so there should be plenty of opportunities for both teams to find the end zone.
Broncos vs. Chiefs NFL Prediction: OVER 47.5