The Denver Broncos head to Miami Gardens to take on the Dolphins on Sunday afternoon when Week 3’s afternoon slate begins at 1:00 PM ET on CBS. Can the Broncos cover the 6.5-point spread as road underdogs?
The Denver Broncos are 0-2 straight up through their first 2 games of 2023. The Broncos are 0-2 ATS this season.
The Miami Dolphins are 2-0 straight up on the year. The Dolphins are 2-0 ATS this season.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
461 Denver Broncos (+6.5) at 462 Miami Dolphins (-6.5); O/U 48
1:00 PM ET, Sunday, September 24, 2023
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Broncos vs. Dolphins Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that the public favors the Dolphins in this game. According to our numbers, 69% of public bets are on Miami -6.5. Please note that this information is subject to change all the way up to kickoff, so be sure to check the link before you pick so you’re receiving the most accurate and up-to-date public betting data.
Denver Broncos DFS Spin
Denver starting free safety Justin Simmons will miss Sunday’s game against Miami with an undisclosed injury. Simmons racked up 14 total tackles in 2 games of action for the Broncos this year. In his place, Denver will likely start 2022 fifth-round selection Delarrin Turner-Yell at free safety.
Denver outside linebacker Frank Clark will also miss Sunday’s road tilt with Miami. Clark is nursing a hip injury. Clark had 2 tackles in Denver’s Week 1 loss to Las Vegas on September 10.
Broncos starting left tackle Garrett Bolles had been limited in practice this week due to an ankle injury, but he doesn’t have an injury designation and should be good to go on Sunday. Bolles made second-team All-Pro for Denver in 2020.
Miami Dolphins DFS Spin
Dolphins star wide receiver Jaylen Waddle was a limited participant in Friday’s practice due to concussion symptoms, and he’s officially listed as questionable for Sunday’s game. Waddle is second on the team in both catches (8) and receiving yards (164) this season.
Miami has been without starting left tackle Terron Armstead for their first two games of this season, and he’s questionable for this weekend’s game with a right leg injury. Armstead is one of the better tackles in the league as he’s made the Pro Bowl 4 times.
Miami outside linebacker Jaelan Phillips is trending in the right direction. Phillips had been nursing a back injury, but he logged limited practice participation earlier in the week and was a full practice participant on Friday. Phillips is listed as questionable, but will likely be a game-time decision. It appears the UCLA alum has a good chance of playing this weekend.
Broncos vs. Dolphins Betting Trends
Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa is 18-7-1 ATS in the Eastern Standard Time zone.
Tua Tagovailoa is 12-5 ATS at home.
Denver is 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games.
Denver is 4-8 ATS in their last 12 non-division games.
Broncos vs. Dolphins Prediction:
I can’t back the Broncos here. Denver head coach Sean Payton appeared to try to temper expectations this season by noting how bad Nathaniel Hackett’s coaching was last year. Payton has seen his quarterback Russell Wilson practicing, and I doubt he likes what he sees. This season could get ugly for Denver in a hurry if they drop a few more games. That scenario is in play.
Miami is one of the better home teams in the NFL as they went 5-3 ATS at home last season. And they have the most explosive offense in the league as they lead the NFL with 7.3 yards per play in 2023. Even if Jaylen Waddle ends up not playing, Miami’s Tyreek Hill should stretch the defense enough to make some big plays and open up space for the Dolphins’ other pass catchers. I think Miami’s offense proves to be too good to stop for Denver this weekend.
NFL WEEK 3 PREDICTION: MIAMI DOLPHINS -6.5