Browns vs. Commanders Prediction
The Commanders can clinch a playoff berth on Sunday but they need some help and they need to beat the Browns, whom they’ll host at 1:00 p.m. ET.
With Carson Wentz taking over as the starter again, are the Commanders a sound play or are the Browns the better bet?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
105 Cleveland Browns (+1.5) at 106 Washington Commanders (-1.5); o/u 40.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, January 1, 2023
FedEx Field, Landover, MD
Browns vs. Commanders Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 67% of public bettors are currently backing the Commanders when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Cleveland Browns DFS Spin
Nick Chubb (foot) said he’ll play in the regular season’s final two games. Chubb has gutted it out in recent games, posting uncharacteristically inefficient stat lines like his 24-carry, 92-yard outing against the Saints in Week 16. Chubb told reporters he never considered shutting it down for the Browns’ meaningless Week 17 and Week 18 games. He should continue to operate as a workhorse, though his lack of pass game involvement crushes any hopes of elite upside. He’ll be a top-12 option this week against the Commanders.
Washington Commanders DFS Spin
Taylor Heinicke has been benched for Carson Wentz. Heinicke’s grit and leadership made him a player favorite after Carson Wentz’s early-season struggles. Heinicke was benched in last week’s 37-20 loss to the 49ers; he threw for 166 yards, two scores, and a pick while losing a fumble — his sixth in the past six games. Heinicke’s days as an NFL starter are likely over: His EPA per play was seventh worst among starters over the past two months, with the Commanders struggling to get anything going through the air. Heinicke, 29, will be a free agent this offseason.
Browns vs. Commanders Betting Trends
Under is 5-0 in Browns last 5 games overall
Under is 7-3 in Browns last 10 road games
Under is 17-5 in Commanders last 22 home games
Under is 9-3-1 in Commanders last 13 games overall
Browns vs. Commanders Prediction:
The Commanders are 1-5 against the spread in their last six games coming off an ATS loss, are 1-6 against the number in their last seven games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game and are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. The Browns, meanwhile, are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games coming off a loss.
NFL WEEK 17 PREDICTION: CLEVELAND BROWNS +1.5
