Browns vs. Dolphins Prediction & Odds
The Cleveland Browns head to Miami Gardens to face the Dolphins on Sunday afternoon when Week 10’s NFL afternoon slate begins at 1:00 PM ET.
Can the Browns cover the spread as 3.5-point road underdogs?
The Cleveland Browns are 3-5 through their first 8 games of 2022. Their best wins were over the Panthers and the Bengals. Their worst losses came against the Patriots and the Falcons. The Browns are 4-4 ATS this year.
The Miami Dolphins are 6-3 so far this season. Their best wins came over the Ravens and the Bills. Their worst losses came against the Bengals and the Jets. The Dolphins are 4-5 ATS on the year.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
251 Cleveland Browns (+3.5) at 252 Miami Dolphins (-3.5); O/U 49
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 13, 2022
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Browns vs. Dolphins Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that the public slightly favors the Browns in this game. According to our numbers, 51% of public bets are on Cleveland +3.5. Please note that this information is subject to change all the way up to kickoff, so make sure to check the link before you pick so you’re receiving the most accurate and up-to-date public betting data.
Cleveland Browns DFS Spin
Browns quarterback Jacoby Brissett had his best game of the season against the Bengals two weeks ago. In that contest, he threw for 278 yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions while also adding 12 rushing yards and a touchdown. He might have some value as a deep sleeper play against a Dolphins defense that just allowed Chicago QB Justin Fields to put up 301 combined rushing/passing yards and 4 total touchdowns on Sunday.
Browns tight end David Njoku will be out for Sunday’s game against the Dolphins. This should pave the way for Amari Cooper to have a big day. Cooper shined in the Browns’ Monday night win over Cincinnati on Halloween, reeling in 5 passes for 131 yards and 1 touchdown. That contest was the third of the season where Cooper recorded at least 100 receiving yards and a touchdown. Cleveland may need to pass the ball to keep pace with Miami’s dynamic offense on Sunday.
Miami Dolphins DFS Spin
Miami quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is finally having the breakout season many predicted he was capable of. Tagovailoa has 1,980 passing yards, 15 passing touchdowns, and only 3 interceptions on the year. He’s currently leading the NFL with a QBR of 80.1. He’d be a viable DFS option at quarterback on Sunday against a Cleveland defense that ranks 23rd in the NFL in opponent yards per pass attempt.
If you need a cost-effective option at running back consider Miami’s Jeff Wilson Jr. In Wilson’s first game with Miami last weekend, he gained 72 scrimmage yards on 12 touches and recorded a receiving touchdown. He might see a bigger workload as Miami might try to possess the ball more to prevent Cleveland’s offense from wearing down their defense.
Browns vs. Dolphins Betting Trends
Cleveland is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games against teams with a winning home record.
Miami is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
The underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 games between Cleveland and Miami.
Cleveland is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games against Miami.
Browns vs. Dolphins Prediction:
The Chicago Bears covered the spread against the Miami Dolphins last week. Chicago lost 35-32 but the Bears were 4-point underdogs going into that game. The Bears stayed in the game by possessing the ball. Chicago had possession for 34 minutes and 46 seconds, while Miami only had it for 25 minutes and 14 seconds. The Cleveland Browns lead the NFL in average time of possession at 32 minutes and 31 seconds per game. I think the Browns utilize a ground-and-pound ball control attack to temper Miami’s offense and keep the game within a field goal.
NFL WEEK 10 PREDICTION: CLEVELAND BROWNS +3.5