Chargers vs. Bills Week 12 Prediction
Justin Herbert and the Chargers visit Josh Allen and the Bills on Sunday at 1:00 p.m. ET. With the total sitting in the low-50s, will the over cash for bettors in the conference matchup?
Game Snapshot
263 Los Angeles Chargers (+4) at 264 Buffalo Bills (-4); o/u 52.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 29, 2020
Venue: Bills Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
TV: CBS
Los Angeles Chargers DFS Spin
Justin Herbert completed 37-of-49 passes for 366 yards and three touchdowns in the Chargers’ 34-28, Week 11 win over the Jets The 366 yards were a new career high for Herbert, who had 277 in the first half as the Chargers raced to a 24-6 halftime lead. The Bolts were less adventurous after the break, letting the Jets vaguely “get back into it.” Doing whatever he wanted against a bad defense, Allen relentlessly targeted Keenan Allen while taking no shortage of down-field shots, one of which connected for a 54-yard completion to “Tyron Johnson.” The runaway OROY favorite has now turned in five three-touchdown performances across his past seven starts, and reached at least two scores every game since Week 4. Frankly, Herbert is playing at an MVP level, not just rookie of the year. He will not win that award, but the No. 6 overall pick has established limitless upside for his career. Week 12 figures to be a shootout with the Bills.
Buffalo Bills DFS Spin
Josh Allen completed 32-of-49 passes for 284 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions in Buffalo’s 32-30 Week 10 loss to the Cardinals. He also caught (!!!) a 12-yard touchdown from Isaiah McKenzie in one of Brian Daboll’s masterpiece play-calls to cap Buffalo’s opening possession. The final review of Allen’s performance still varies depending on when someone tuned in. He nearly threw five interceptions through the first three quarters, missing Cole Beasley (11/109/1) and Stefon Diggs (10/93/1) for a handful of wide-open opportunities. With just three minutes remaining and the Bills trailing 26-23, though, Allen nixed checking down to Zack Moss and instead scrambled around and rifled the go-ahead touchdown to Diggs 21 yards downfield. Buffalo only fell to 7-3 because DeAndre Hopkins and Kyler Murray connected on a miraculous 43-yard Hail Mary over three defenders with one second remaining. Allen still became just the third quarterback in league history with at least 20 passing touchdowns and five rushing scores in consecutive seasons. He’ll again rank as a top-five quarterback against Los Angeles’ crumbling secondary following Buffalo’s Week 11 bye.
Chargers vs. Bills Betting Prediction
The over is a perfect 7-0 in the Chargers’ last seven games overall, is 4-0 in their last four games as an underdog and has cashed in four straight when they play on the road. On the other side, the over is 4-1 in the Bills’ last five home games, is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games overall and has cashed in 11 of Buffalo’s last 16 games played in November.
NFL WEEK 12 BETTING PREDICTION: CHARGERS/BILLS OVER 52.5