Chargers vs. Browns Prediction & Odds
AFC foes face off in Cleveland, OH on Sunday afternoon when Week 5’s NFL Sunday early slate begins at 1:00 PM ET. Can Cleveland climb above .500 as 2.5-point home underdogs?
The Los Angeles Chargers are 2-2 through their first 4 games of 2022. They beat the Raiders and Texans but lost to the Chiefs and Jaguars in weeks 2 and 3. Los Angeles’s AFC team is 3-1 ATS this year.
The Cleveland Browns opened their season with a road win over Carolina. They’ve alternated wins and losses since, losing to the Jets, toppling the Steelers, and falling to the Falcons last week. The Browns are 2-2 ATS on the year.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
467 Los Angeles Chargers -2.5 at 468 Cleveland Browns +2.5; o/u 47
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, October 9, 2022
FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
Chargers vs. Browns Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that the public is slightly favoring the Browns in this game. According to our numbers, 56% of public bets are on the Browns +2.5. Please note that this information is subject to change all the way up to kickoff, so make sure to check the link before you pick so you’re receiving the most accurate and up-to-date public betting data.
Los Angeles Chargers DFS Spin
The Chargers’ Justin Herbert is one of the best young quarterbacks in the NFL. He threw for over 330 yards and multiple touchdowns in both of the Chargers’ road games earlier this year. He wouldn’t be a bad DFS selection at quarterback. For pass catchers, the Chargers will be limited. Wide receiver Keenan Allen has been ruled out of Sunday’s game with a hamstring injury, and wide receiver Jalen Guyton was put on injured reserve a few weeks ago. That leaves the pass-catching duo of wide receiver Mike Williams and tight end Gerald Everett who rank in the top three on the team in targets, catches, and yards. Chargers running back Austin Ekeler leads the team in catches and rushing attempts, and he’s due for a breakout performance. The Chargers will need a healthy amount of production from Ekeler to win and cover on Sunday.
Cleveland Browns DFS Spin
The focal point of Cleveland’s offense is their star running back Nick Chubb. Chubb is second in the NFL in rushing yards (459), second in rushing touchdowns (5), and ninth in rushing yards per carry (5.7) He’ll be facing a Chargers defense that ranks 31st in the NFL in opponent rushing yards per carry at 5.4. Nick Chubb is a must-start on Sunday. Browns wide receiver Donovan Peoples-Jones and tight end David Njoku both led the team in targets and receiving yards last week. They showed that they could produce when teams devote resources to stopping Browns’ #1 wide receiver Amari Cooper. Chargers star cornerback JC Jackson will likely be following Cooper around the field on Sunday which should free up opportunities for Peoples-Jones and Njoku.
Chargers vs. Browns Betting Trends
The under is 6-0 in Cleveland’s last 6 games after they’ve allowed over 150 rushing yards in their previous game.
The under is 5-1 in Cleveland’s last 6 games after gaining more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
The underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
Los Angeles is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against Cleveland.
Chargers vs. Browns Prediction:
The Cleveland Browns are going to try to pound the Chargers by running the ball. Cleveland is 8th in the NFL in average yards per rushing attempt at 5.0. They have what many consider the best running back duo in the league in Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. The Browns’ defense has also been a bit underrated this season. Cleveland is second in the league in opponent completion percentage allowed at 56.9%. I think this will be a hard-fought close contest. I even think there’s some value in the Browns as a money line underdog at +110. But I’ll take the home team, the Cleveland Browns, and the points.
NFL WEEK 5 PREDICTION: CLEVELAND BROWNS +2.5
