Chiefs vs. Colts Prediction & Odds
The winless Colts host the red-hot 2-0 Chiefs at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday. Can the Colts snap out of their early-season funk and cover the number as home underdogs?
The Kansas City Chiefs are 2-0 on the season. They blew out the Cardinals in their opening game, a road contest, by a score of 44-21. They then narrowly beat a good Chargers team at home last Thursday night 27-24. They’ll be shooting for their third win in a row to begin the season in Indianapolis on Sunday afternoon.
The Indianapolis Colts are 0-1-1 with a 20-20 tie on the road against the Texans in week 1 and an embarrassing shutout loss on the road in Jacksonville last week. The Colts will be searching for their first win of the season at home on Sunday afternoon.
Game Matchup and Betting Odds
471 Kansas City Chiefs -5.5 at 472 Indianapolis Colts +5.5; O/U 50.5
1:00 PM ET Sunday, September 25th, 2022
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Chiefs vs. Colts Public Betting Information
The public is slightly favoring the Chiefs in this game. Our NFL Public Betting Page shows that 71% of public bets are on Kansas City -5.5. Do note that those numbers are subject to change and could be different once game time rolls around.
Kansas City Chiefs DFS Spin
Chiefs’ quarterback Patrick Mahomes remains one of the best quarterbacks in the league. He’s already thrown for 595 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions on the year. He’s third in the NFL in QBR as well at 82.2 out of 100. He’d be a terrific addition to any DFS lineup, regardless of price.
Kansas City tight end Travis Kelce is one of the best in the league at his position as well, and he’s already racked up 13 catches, 172 receiving yards, and a touchdown on the year. You can’t go wrong with him as your tight end. For a value play, I’d take a look at Chiefs wide receiver Marquez Valdes-Scantling. He’s tied for second on the team in targets and seems due for a breakout game. His speed should play well on the turf at Indy, and he could be primed for a big day.
Indianapolis Colts DFS Spin
Colts’ QB Matt Ryan laid an egg against Jacksonville last week, throwing 3 interceptions and getting sacked 5 times during a 24-0 loss to the Jaguars. As such, for DFS purposes I’d go with Colts running back Jonathan Taylor, as he’s been one of the best backs in the league the last few years. He’s off to a hot start this year, with 40 carries, 215 yards, and a touchdown through 2 games. Those numbers are even more impressive when you consider how poor the Colts’ passing game has been.
A sleeper DFS play for the Colts on the outside is wide receiver, Ashton Dulin. The 6’1” 215-pound 4th year player out of Division II Malone University is leading the Colts in receiving yards on the season, with 8 catches and 125 yards.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Indianapolis Colts Betting Trends
Kansas City is 28-7 straight up in the regular season since the beginning of 2020.
Indianapolis is 20-14-1 straight up in the regular season since the beginning of 2020.
93% of the handle is on Kansas City -5.5.
Kansas City is 11-11 ATS dating back to the beginning of last year.
Indianapolis is 10-9 ATS dating back to the beginning of last season.
Kansas City is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games in week 3.
The over is 4-0 in Kansas City’s last 4 games on field turf.
Indianapolis is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
The road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two squads.
Chiefs vs. Colts Betting Prediction
The Indianapolis Colts might be a team in freefall. They’ve scored only 20 points in their first two games combined and couldn’t muster wins against presumably inferior division opponents like the Texans and Jaguars. I think 37-year-old Matt Ryan is washed up as evidenced by his 31.4 QBR out of 100. That’s good for 26th in the NFL. I don’t think there’s any way that the Colts can hang with the Chiefs. Not on a fast surface like the field turf in Lucas Oil Stadium. Not when Kansas City had 10 days to prepare for this game. I think Kansas City goes up and down the field all day and I think the Colts score a few touchdowns, but not enough to make it a tight game. The over of 50.5 points is in play in my opinion, but I’ll take one of the league’s best offenses against one of the league’s worst teams.
NFL FOOTBALL WEEK 3 PREDICTION: KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -5.5
