Chiefs vs. Texans Prediction & Odds
The Kansas City Chiefs travel to Houston to take on the Texans on Sunday afternoon when Week 15’s afternoon slate begins at 1:00 PM ET. Can the Chiefs cover the 14.5-point spread as road favorites?
The Kansas City Chiefs are 10-3 through their first 13 games of 2022. Their best wins came against the 49ers and the Titans. Their worst losses came against the Colts and the Bengals. The Chiefs are 4-8-1 ATS this season.
The Houston Texans are 1-11-1 on the year. Their only win came against the Jaguars in Week 5. Their worst losses came against the Broncos and the Bears. The Texans are 5-7-1 ATS this season.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
315 Kansas City Chiefs (-14.5) at 316 Houston Texans (+14.5); O/U 49.5
1:00 PM ET, Sunday, December 18, 2022
NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
Chiefs vs. Texans Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that the public favors the Chiefs in this game. According to our numbers, 56% of public bets are on Kansas City -14.5. Please note that this information is subject to change all the way up to kickoff, so be sure to check the link before you pick so you’re receiving the most accurate and up-to-date public betting data.
Kansas City Chiefs DFS Spin
With Chiefs running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire being placed on injured reserve a few weeks ago, Kansas City running back Isiah Pacheco has become the feature back in one of the NFL’s best offenses. Pacheco has carried the ball at least 13 times in 5 straight games. He might see a lot of work against a Texans defense that’s 27th in the NFL in opponent yards per rushing attempt.
Travis Kelce is the best tight end in DFS because of his consistency. Kelce has caught at least 4 passes in every game this season and he’s gained at least 50 receiving yards in 12 of 13 contests this year. If that wasn’t enough, he’s tied for the league lead in touchdown catches with 12. He could be in for a big day against the Texans who are 25th in the NFL in opponent yards per pass attempt.
Houston Texans DFS Spin
The Texans will be missing their leading rusher and top two receivers due to injury for Sunday’s game against the Chiefs. Running back Dameon Pierce has an ankle injury, wide receiver Brandin Cooks has a calf injury and wide receiver Nico Collins is nursing a foot ailment.
Those injuries should open up opportunities for wide receiver Chris Moore and running back Rex Burkhead. Moore had a big game against Dallas last week, posting 10 catches for 124 yards. He should see a healthy target share against a middling (12th in opponent yards per pass attempt) Kansas City pass defense. Texans running back Rex Burkhead could be a deep sleeper at running back as he’s recorded at least one catch in every game this season and should get several carries as Houston looks to take some of the pressure off of their quarterback on Sunday.
Chiefs vs. Texans Betting Trends
Kansas City is 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games following an outright win.
Kansas City is 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record.
Kansas City is 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Houston is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 15.
Chiefs vs. Texans Prediction:
The Kansas City Chiefs might be 10-3 straight up this season, but they’re having trouble covering the spread, especially as a favorite. Kansas City is 3-7-1 against the spread as a favorite this year. There’s also the matter of Houston being competitive in nearly every game. The Texans have only lost two games by more than 14 points this season, despite their 1-11-1 record. I know it seems like it doesn’t make sense to take one of the NFL’s worst teams against one of its best offenses, but the fact of the matter is, 14.5 points is a lot of points in the NFL. Because of that, I’ll take the Texans at home and the points.
NFL WEEK 15 PREDICTION: HOUSTON TEXANS +14.5
