Colts vs. Patriots Prediction & Odds
A pair of desperate AFC teams will meet in Foxborough, MA on Sunday afternoon when the Patriots host the Colts at 1:00 p.m. ET.
Will New England cash for bettors as 4.5-point home favorites or is there a better bet on the board?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
451 Indianapolis Colts (+4.5) at 452 New England Patriots (-4.5); o/u 40.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 6, 2022
Gillette Stadium, Foxbourgh, MA
Colts vs. Patriots Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 53% of public bettors are currently backing the Patriots when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Indianapolis Colts DFS Spin
Jonathan Taylor (ankle) will not play in Week 9 against the Patriots. Frank Reich said that the Colts “gotta do what’s right for the player,” and said it’s a “week-to-week” thing in announcing that Taylor would be ruled out. We could potentially be in for a couple starts of Deon Jackson at running back with Nyheim Hines dealt away and Taylor not even getting in a limited practice this week. Jackson will only be a FLEX in what profiles as a low-scoring matchup against the Patriots, but he has played well in his limited chances this season.
New England Patriots DFS Spin
Damien Harris (illness) is questionable for Week 9 against the Colts. Harris’ only practice of the week was a limited session on Friday, but the Patriots appear to have enough trust in him to let him play without much practice as long as the illness is not serious. Harris will be a FLEX play based on the uncertainty, and the Colts are sixth in run defense DVOA so there doesn’t figure to be easy paths for Harris to return value beyond getting in the end zone.
Colts vs. Patriots Betting Trends
Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in New England
Over is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings
Under is 7-0 in Colts last 7 road games
Under is 10-1 in Colts last 11 vs. AFC
Colts vs. Patriots Prediction:
The Colts are winless at the betting window in their last four games in New England and have dropped five of their last seven games versus the Patriots overall. The favorite has also covered in five of their last seven meetings between these two teams, while the home team is a perfect 4-0 against the number in the last four meetings. Finally, the Colts have dropped four of their last five road games against the spread and are just 3-7 against the number in their last 10 games overall.
NFL Week 9 Prediction: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -4.5