Colts vs. Texans Prediction & Odds
The Matt Ryan era for the Colts begins in Houston on Sunday where Indianapolis will take on AFC South rivals the Texans at 1:00 p.m. ET. The Colts have had plenty of ATS success in Houston over the years but is 7.5 too much to lay on Indy today?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
467 Indianapolis Colts (-7.5) at 468 Houston Texans (+7.5); o/u 45.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, September 11, 2022
NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
Colts vs. Texans Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 59% of public bettors are currently backing the Colts when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Indianapolis Colts DFS Spin
Colts LB Shaquille Leonard (back) is out for Week 1 against the Texans. Leonard practiced all three days, but was a downgrade last week and it appears the Colts decided to not push him after he underwent surprise back surgery just before training camp started. He will travel with the team to Houston and seems likely to play soon, whether it’s Week 2 or Week 3. It’s a slight upgrade for Dameon Pierce’s stock this weekend.
Houston Texans DFS Spin
Texans coach Lovie Smith has officially named Dameon Pierce the team’s starting running back. “He’s earned an opportunity to lead us,” Smith said Wednesday. “It was asked, is he our starting running back? He’s earned the right to line up there with the ones, the first snap and I’m anxious to see him play.” That second line is a bit of a hedge, but probably just an admission that Pierce is not going to be an every-down player. Rex Burkhead is expected to handle passing downs, at least in the early going. You can question how valuable a rookie early-down runner is going to be on what projects to remain one of the league’s worst teams, but Pierce has the talent to be a difference-maker. He is worthy of Week 1 FLEX spots.
Colts vs. Texans Betting Trends
Under is 18-6 in the last 24 meetings
Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Houston
Under is 8-1 in Colts last 9 vs. AFC South
Colts vs. Texans Prediction:
The Colts are 15-5-2 against the spread in their last 22 games against the Texans and are 9-1-1 against the number in their last 11 trips to Houston, while the road team is 12-3-2 against the spread in the last 17 meetings between these two teams overall. The Colts have also covered in six of their last seven away games and in six of their last eight road games when listed as the favorite.
NFL WEEK 1 PREDICTION: INDIANAPOLIS COLTS -7.5