Commanders vs. Giants Prediction & Odds
The Washington Commanders head to East Rutherford, NJ to face the New York Giants on Sunday afternoon when Week 13’s afternoon slate begins at 1:00 PM ET.
Can the Giants cover the 2-point spread as home underdogs?
The Washington Commanders are 7-5 through their first 12 games of 2022. Their best wins came against the Eagles and the Falcons. Their worst losses came against the Lions and the Titans. The Commanders are 7-4-1 ATS this season.
The New York Giants are 7-4 on the year. Their best wins came against the Titans and the Ravens. Their worst losses came against the Seahawks and the Lions. The Giants are 8-3 ATS this season.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
461 Washington Commanders (-2) at 462 New York Giants (+2); O/U 40.5
1:00 PM ET, Sunday, December 4, 2022
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Commanders vs. Giants Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that the public favors the Giants in this game. According to our numbers, 61% of public bets are on New York +2. Please note that this information is subject to change all the way up to kickoff, so be sure to check the link before you pick so you’re receiving the most accurate and up-to-date public betting data.
Washington Commanders DFS Spin
Washington running back Brian Robinson Jr. had a career day in the Commanders’ 19-13 win over the Falcons last weekend. Robinson had 18 carries for 105 yards and added 2 catches, 20 receiving yards, and a receiving touchdown. He would be an attractive DFS option against a Giants defense that’s allowing 5.2 yards per carry, a figure which ranks 30th in the NFL.
When it comes to Washington pass catchers, wide receiver Terry McLaurin is the one you want for DFS purposes. McLaurin is clearly the Commanders’ #1 receiver and has recorded at least 4 catches and 48 receiving yards in each of his last 6 games. That streak dates back to when backup QB Taylor Heinicke began playing, and that’s probably not a coincidence, as the two have shown good chemistry in the passing game during Washington’s current 5-1 stretch.
New York Giants DFS Spin
If you want to save money on a quarterback, consider the Giants’ Daniel Jones. In his last three games, Daniel Jones has completed at least 60% of his passes and tossed at least 1 touchdown in each game. For the season he has 10 touchdown passes and 4 rushing touchdowns. Jones is a legitimate threat in the running game as he’s run for 451 yards on 79 rushing attempts, which averages out to 5.7 yards per carry. He may have some value against a Washington defense that ranks 14th or worse in opponent yards per pass attempt, opponent yards per rushing attempt, and takeaways per game.
Giants running back Saquon Barkley has been bottled up in his last two games (26 rushes for 62 yards combined) but I don’t see that trend continuing, especially if Commanders defensive lineman Chase Young is forced to sit out another game. Consider Saquon Barkley a high-risk, high-reward play for Sunday’s game.
Commanders vs. Giants Betting Trends
Washington is 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Washington is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win.
New York is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games in December.
The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings between Washington and New York.
Commanders vs. Giants Prediction:
For me, these are two teams going in completely opposite directions. The Giants have lost 3 of their last 4 games, while Washington has won 6 of their last 7. Washington QB Taylor Heinicke doesn’t have great numbers (6.8 yards per pass attempt, 7 passing touchdowns, 5 interceptions) but it seems like the team responds to his leadership as he’s gone 5-1 as a starter since taking over for an injured Carson Wentz. The Giants had been playing a bit over their head when they started the season 6-1 and they now appear to be coming back to earth. I think Washington keeps their hot streak going, and I think they win this game by a field goal or more.
NFL WEEK 13 PREDICTION: WASHINGTON COMMANDERS -2
