Dolphins vs. Bills Prediction & Odds
The Bills will face the Dolphins’ third-string quarterback Skylar Thompson when the AFC East rivals meet at 1:00 p.m. ET in the Wildcard round of the NFL playoffs.
Given Miami’s injuries, is 13.5 not too much to lay with Buffalo?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
145 Miami Dolphins (+13.5) at 146 Buffalo Bills (-13.5); o/u 43.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, January 15, 2023
Highmark Stadium, Buffalo, NY
Dolphins vs. Bills Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 68% of public bettors are currently backing the Bills when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Miami Dolphins DFS Spin
Skylar Thompson (ankle) is not on Miami’s final Wild Card injury report against Buffalo and will start for the Dolphins. It’s a big ask for Thompson, of the 57.1% completion rate and 1/3 TD/INT ratio, to go to Buffalo in a playoff atmosphere and perform even adequately. The Dolphins have no choice but to ask it with Tua Tagovailoa out and Teddy Bridgewater dealing with a pinky issue. Expectations should be quite low for Miami’s offense on Sunday.
Buffalo Bills DFS Spin
Josh Allen completed 19-of-31 passes for 254 yards with three touchdowns and an interception in Buffalo’s Week 18 win over the Patriots. Allen did most of his scoring in the second half, throwing touchdowns to Stefon Diggs and John Brown. He also had a first quarter red-zone score to TE Dawson Knox. Buffalo eliminated New England from the playoffs with the win and clinched the No. 2 seed with the potential to play the AFC Championship Game at a neutral site if they match up with the No. 1 seeded Chiefs. Allen finishes the regular season with 4,283 yards and a 35:14 TD/INT ratio while completing 63% of his passes. Buffalo will host division-rival Miami in the first round of the playoffs.
Dolphins vs. Bills Betting Trends
Under is 5-0 in Dolphins last 5 Wildcard games
Under is 5-0 in Dolphins last 5 playoff games
Over is 6-1 in Dolphins last 7 road games
Over is 4-1 in Bills last 5 home games
Dolphins vs. Bills Prediction:
The underdog is 4-1-1 against the spread in the last six meetings between these two teams but the Dolphins are just 3-7-1 against the number in their last 11 trips to Buffalo. Miami has also failed to cover in four straight playoff games and is 1-4-1 against the spread in its last six road games versus a team with a winning home record. On the other side, the Bills are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game and are 3-1-1 against the number in their last five games played in the month of January.
NFL WILDCARD WEEKEND PREDICTION: BUFFALO BILLS -13.5
