Dolphins vs. Bills Prediction & Odds
The Bills are trying to secure the top seed in the AFC while the Dolphins are just trying to hold onto a wild card spot.
The division rivals will clash in Buffalo at 8:15 p.m. ET on Saturday night and with the Bills laying a full seven points, what’s the wise play when it comes to this AFC East matchup?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
309 Miami Dolphins (+7) at 310 Buffalo Bills (-7); o/u 43.5
8:15 p.m. ET, Saturday, December 17, 2022
Highmark Stadium, Buffalo, NY
Dolphins vs. Bills Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 53% of public bettors are currently backing the Bills when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Miami Dolphins DFS Spin
Tua Tagovailoa (ankle) completed 10 of 28 pass attempts for 145 yards and a touchdown while adding 28 yards on three rushing attempts in Sunday’s 23-17 loss to the Chargers. Tagovailoa turned in his worst performance of the season against a Chargers secondary that was without star safety Derwin James (quadriceps). The 24-year-old completed just 36 percent of his passes one week after completing a season-low 55 percent against the 49ers. Tagovailoa was cleared of the minor ankle injury he suffered in Week 13, but perhaps his putrid performance indicates that he wasn’t at full strength. On a positive note, the southpaw was able to reincorporate the rushing aspect of his fantasy game after compiling zero rushing yards over his last four games. Tua and the Dolphins will look to rebound in a pivotal AFC East matchup against the Bills on Saturday.
Buffalo Bills DFS Spin
Josh Allen completed 16 of 27 passes for 147 yards and one touchdown while rushing 10 times for 47 yards and another touchdown in Sunday’s 20-12 win over the Jets. After holding Allen without a passing touchdown in their previous meeting, the ferocious Jets defense gave him trouble early in this one, as Buffalo punted on each of its first two possessions for the first time in 18 games. The Bills punted on their next three drives as well before the Jets gifted them a fourth-down conversion with an encroachment penalty, and Allen capitalized by capping that drive with a 24-yard touchdown pass to Dawson Knox in the final minute of the first half. After the Jets tied the game early in the third, Allen answered with a five-yard touchdown run as the Bills took the lead for good. The dual-threat quarterback has thrown 26 touchdowns and rushed for another six heading into a Week 15 home game against the Dolphins.
Dolphins vs. Bills Betting Trends
Underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings
Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Buffalo
Under is 5-2 in Dolphins last 7 vs. AFC
Under is 9-4 in Dolphins last 13 vs. AFC East
Dolphins vs. Bills Prediction:
The Dolphins are 2-7-1 against the spread in their last 10 games in Buffalo, while the home team is 3-1-1 against the number in the last five meetings between these two teams. Miami has also dropped seven of its last 10 games against the spread, is 1-5 against the number in its last six road games and is winless at the betting window in its last four games coming off a loss. On the other side, the Bills are 9-3-2 against the spread in their last 14 games coming off an ATS loss and are 7-3 against the number in their last 10 games played in December.
NFL WEEK 15 PREDICTION: BUFFALO BILLS -7
