The New York Giants travel to Miami to take on the Dolphins on Sunday when Week 5’s afternoon slate begins at 1:00 PM ET on FOX. Can the Dolphins cover the 12.5-point spread as home favorites? Our Giants vs. Dolphins betting prediction will give you today’s winner!
The New York Giants are 1-3 straight up and 0-4 against the spread this year. Their only win came against the Cardinals, and their worst loss came against the Seahawks.
The Miami Dolphins are 3-1 straight up on the year and 3-1 against the spread. Their best win came against the Chargers, and their only loss came against the Bills.
Giants vs. Dolphins Game Matchup & Betting Odds
459 New York Giants (+12.5) vs. 460 Miami Dolphins (-12.5); O/U 48
1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 8, 2023
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Giants vs. Dolphins Public Betting Prediction
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that the public favors the Dolphins in this game. According to our numbers, 92% of public bets are on Miami -12.5. Please note that this information is subject to change all the way up to kickoff, so be sure to check the link before you pick so you’re receiving the most accurate and up-to-date public betting data.
New York Giants DFS Spin
The Giants will be missing three starting offensive linemen for their road tilt with the Dolphins on Sunday. New York left tackle Andrew Thomas is out with a hamstring injury, left guard Shane Lemieux is out with a groin ailment, and center John Michael Schmitz Jr. is out with a shoulder injury.
Making matters worse for New York, star running back Saquon Barkley was limited at practice Friday with a high ankle sprain, and he’s officially listed as questionable for Sunday’s game. Barkley has 29 carries for 114 yards and a touchdown and 9 catches for 41 yards and a touchdown in 2 games of action for the Giants this season.
Miami Dolphins DFS Spin
Miami starting left tackle Terron Armstead was placed on injured reserve on Friday with a knee injury. It’s unclear when he’ll be able to return. In his place, the Dolphins will likely start eighth-year journeyman Kendall Lamm.
Miami starting interior offensive lineman Connor Williams is questionable for Sunday’s game with a groin injury. It’s worth noting that he missed last week’s game with that same injury.
Dolphins outside linebacker Jaelan Phillips missed last week’s game with an oblique injury and he’s questionable for this weekend’s game with said injury. Phillips has 12 total tackles and 0.5 sacks in 2 games of action for Miami this season.
Giants vs. Dolphins Betting Trends
The Giants allowed 11 sacks against the Seahawks last weekend. Teams that allow 7 or more sacks the previous game are 87-114-5 ATS over the last 20 years and 4-13 ATS over the last two seasons.
Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa is 13-5 ATS at home in his career.
The Dolphins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.
The Dolphins are an NFL-best 34-20-3 ATS at home since 2016.
Gameday in the 305 ‼️#NYGvsMIA | #FinsUp pic.twitter.com/iOykhbHGPp
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) October 8, 2023
Giants vs. Dolphins Betting Prediction:
Miami’s offense has been incredible this season. The Dolphins rank first in the NFL in yards per play (8.0), points per play (0.588), points per game (37.5), and offensive touchdowns per game (5.0). Miami should have no trouble scoring against a New York defense that ranks 23rd in opponent yards per play (5.6) and 30th in opponent points per play (0.500).
What’s worse, the Giants will be missing the entire left side of their offensive line for this contest. New York allows QB Daniel Jones to be sacked a league-worst 14.65% of the time. Miami’s defense is 19th in sack percentage at 6.76%, but the Dolphins do create turnovers to the tune of 1.3 takeaways per game, a figure that ranks tied for 12th in the NFL. Giants QB Daniel Jones has lost an NFL-high 24 fumbles since he came into the league in 2019, and that combined with the fact that New York’s offensive line will be starting multiple backups means that there’s blowout potential here. I like the Dolphins to roll at home in this one.
