Giants vs. Jaguars Prediction & Odds
The New York Giants travel to Jacksonville to play the Jaguars on Sunday afternoon when Week 7’s NFL Sunday slate begins at 1:00 PM ET. Can the Giants pull off the upset and cover the spread as 3-point road underdogs?
The New York Giants are 5-1 through their first 6 games of 2022. Their best wins were over the Titans and the Ravens. The Giants’ only loss was to the Cowboys in Week 3. The Giants are 5-1 ATS this year.
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 2-4 so far this season. They beat the Colts and Chargers, but have lost their last three games. The Jaguars are 2-4 ATS on the year.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
453 New York Giants +3 at 454 Jacksonville Jaguars -3; O/U 43
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, October 23, 2022
TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, FL
Giants vs. Jaguars Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that the public is favoring the Giants in this game. According to our numbers, 61% of public bets are on New York +3. Please note that this information is subject to change all the way up to kickoff, so make sure to check the link before you pick so you’re receiving the most accurate and up-to-date public betting data.
New York Giants DFS Spin
Giants running back Saquon Barkley is second in the NFL with 616 rushing yards through 6 games in 2022. He’s always worth considering as a DFS play but there may be some risk this week. The Jaguars’ defense has been stout against the run ranking third in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (89.3) and third in rushing yards allowed per attempt (3.6). With that being said, Saquon Barkley is so good that he could be considered matchup-proof.
If you’d like to try to save some salary cap space, consider Giants’ quarterback Daniel Jones as a dart throw. He hasn’t thrown an interception since Week 3, is completing 67.3% of his passes, and is averaging 5 yards per carry on the ground. I could see Daniel Jones making a few big plays with his arm or his legs, and leading the Giants to an outright win.
Jacksonville Jaguars DFS Spin
The Giants’ run defense hasn’t been great this year. They’re 28th in rushing yards allowed per game (144.8) and last in rushing yards allowed per attempt (5.6). Because of that, both Jaguars running backs are in play on Sunday: James Robinson and Travis Etienne Jr. Of those two I’d favor Etienne a bit more because he’s more of a threat as a pass catcher out of the backfield.
As far as wide receivers go, I’d consider both Christian Kirk and Zay Jones for Jacksonville. Jones actually leads the team in catches while Kirk leads the team in targets, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns. It’s worth noting that the Giants have a top-10 pass defense so there will be some risk there if you elect to use any Jacksonville pass-catchers.
Giants vs. Jaguars Betting Trends
Jacksonville is 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following an outright loss.
Jacksonville is 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games on grass.
New York is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
New York is 18-8-1 in their last 27 games against a team with a losing record.
Giants vs. Jaguars Prediction:
When this line came out, I didn’t think it made any sense. Why were the 5-1 Giants underdogs against the 2-4 Jaguars? After looking at the numbers it was clear: the Jaguars are great against the run while the Giants are not. But that logic doesn’t stand up to scrutiny. The Giants have three wins over teams ranked in the top 12 in rushing yards per attempt (Baltimore, Chicago, and Green Bay). They’ve been bending but not breaking and doing enough to win several close games thus far. I think that continues on Sunday. New York has some value as a money line underdog at +145, but I’ll take the Giants and the points as the pick.
NFL WEEK 7 PREDICTION: NEW YORK GIANTS +3
