Jaguars vs. Chiefs Total Prediction
The total for Saturday’s Divisional round matchup between the Jaguars and Chiefs at 4:30 p.m. ET opened at 51.5 but has been bet up to 53.5. Is it smart to follow the line movement and take the over today?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
301 Jacksonville Jaguars (+9) at 302 Kansas City Chiefs (-9); o/u 53
4:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, January 21, 2023
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Jaguars vs. Chiefs Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 51% of public bettors are currently backing the Chiefs when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Jacksonville Jaguars DFS Spin
Travis Etienne rushed 20 times for 109 yards in the Jaguars’ Wild Card win over the Chargers. Etienne’s rushing line was extremely impressive considering he was sitting on 8/37 with the Jags trailing 27-7 at halftime. Coach Doug Pederson did a masterful job of picking his second half rushing spots, none better than his 4th-and-1 call to Etienne with the game on the line with 1:27 remaining. With the Chargers expecting a quarterback sneak, Etienne got the ball, broke right and set up the game-winning field goal. He now has at least seven days to rest up for a likely Divisional Round matchup with the Chiefs. Etienne was held to 73 scoreless yards from scrimmage when those sides met in November.
Kansas City Chiefs DFS Spin
Mecole Hardman (pelvis) will not play in Kansas City’s Divisional Round game against the Jaguars. No surprise here as Hardman did not practice all week. Andy Reid deferred to taking it slow with the injury as Hardman was not responding the way he or the coaching staff wanted him to. It’s possible that he’ll be back for the AFC Championship game, but he’s certainly questionable to start next week assuming the Chiefs advance. Kadarius Toney and Skyy Moore figure to get more looks in Hardman’s absence.
Jaguars vs. Chiefs Betting Trends
Jaguars are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings
Road team is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings
Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings
Jaguars vs. Chiefs Prediction:
The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams overall and is 4-1 in the last five meetings at Arrowhead Stadium. The under is also 7-3 in the Jaguars’ last 10 road games versus a team with a winning home record and is 9-3 in their last 12 games in January. On the other side, the under is 4-0 in the Chiefs’ last four home games versus a team with a winning road record, is 5-1 in their last six home games and is 4-0 in their last four home games versus a team with a winning road record.
NFL DIVISIONAL PLAYOFFS PREDICTION: JAGUARS/CHIEFS UNDER 53
