Jaguars vs. Chiefs Prediction & Odds
The Jacksonville Jaguars travel to Kansas City to play the Chiefs on Sunday afternoon when Week 10’s NFL afternoon slate begins at 1:00 PM ET.
Can the Jaguars cover the spread as 9.5-point road underdogs?
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 3-6 through their first 9 games of 2022. Their best wins were over the Chargers and the Colts. Their worst losses came against the Texans and the Broncos. The Jaguars are 3-6 ATS this year.
The Kansas City Chiefs are 6-2 so far this season. Their best wins came over the Chargers and the Titans. Their only losses came against the Bills and the Colts. The Chiefs are 3-5 ATS on the year.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
243 Jacksonville Jaguars (+9.5) at 244 Kansas City Chiefs (-9.5); O/U 51
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 13, 2022
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Jaguars vs. Chiefs Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that the public favors the Chiefs in this game. According to our numbers, 63% of public bets are on Kansas City -9.5. Please note that this information is subject to change all the way up to kickoff, so make sure to check the link before you pick so you’re receiving the most accurate and up-to-date public betting data.
Jacksonville Jaguars DFS Spin
Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence is a low-floor-high-ceiling DFS option this weekend. Lawrence played well against Las Vegas last week, recording 235 passing yards and 1 touchdown while also adding 53 rushing yards. Jags head coach Doug Pederson might be forced to open things up if the Chiefs score multiple touchdowns early in this game.
If you see this game as more of an evenly matched contest, you could consider Jacksonville running back Travis Etienne Jr. Etienne has blossomed after the Jaguars traded away his backfield mate James Robinson to the Jets. Travis Etienne has run for at least 114 rushing yards and 1 rushing touchdown in each of the past three weeks. He’s also recorded at least 1 reception and at least 2 targets in that same span. Travis Etienne might make some explosive plays against a KC defense that’s 17th in the NFL in opponent yards per play.
Kansas City Chiefs DFS Spin
Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes continues to light up the NFL. Last week in Kansas City’s win against the Titans, Mahomes threw for 446 passing yards while completing 43 of his 68 passes. He added 63 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown for good measure. On the year Mahomes leads the NFL in passing yards and passing touchdowns while he ranks second in QBR. He’s worth the steep price in DFS because of how consistently great he’s been this year.
Kansas City tight end Travis Kelce is likely the best in the game at his position. Kelce leads all tight ends in receptions (57), receiving yards (659), and receiving touchdowns (7). He leads the Chiefs in targets with 77 but he may see even more on Sunday as wide receiver Mecole Hardman is out with an abdominal injury and backup tight end Blake Bell is still out with a hip flexor. If you’d like a cheaper option at pass catcher, wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster has gotten at least 8 targets in 6 out of the Chiefs’ 8 games this year.
Jaguars vs. Chiefs Betting Trends
Jacksonville is 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games in Week 10.
Kansas City is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an outright win.
Kansas City is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.
The road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between Jacksonville and Kansas City.
Jaguars vs. Chiefs Prediction:
The NFL is rife with parity. As such, a 9.5-point spread is a lot for any team to give to any other team, considering how evenly matched all the teams are. This is especially the case when the underdog has a decent defense, as is the case with the Jacksonville Jaguars. Jacksonville ranks in the top 10 in the NFL in opponent punts per offensive score, opponent average passer rating, and opponent points per play. What’s more, the Jaguars have the best average margin against the spread as an underdog this season at +10.2. I think 9.5 is too many points and I think the Jaguars cover the number in Kansas City.
NFL WEEK 10 PREDICTION: JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS +9.5
